Predict Iowa for the Democrats

[Tender Branson]

Clinton: 30%
Edwards: 29%
Obama: 20%
Richardson: 8%
Biden: 8%
Dodd: 3%
Kucinich: 2%

[Tender Branson]

Clinton: 30%
Edwards: 29%
Obama: 20%
Richardson: 8%
Biden: 8%
Dodd: 3%
Kucinich: 2%

God Tender, what an optimist you are!

Realist. I don´t trust the Iowa electorate. They´ll go for Hillary on Jan. 3, but I hope I´m terribly wrong ...

[Tender Branson]

Clinton: 30%
Edwards: 29%
Obama: 20%
Richardson: 8%
Biden: 8%
Dodd: 3%
Kucinich: 2%

God Tender, what an optimist you are!

Realist. I don´t trust the Iowa electorate. They´ll go for Hillary on Jan. 3, but I hope I´m terribly wrong ...

I know... you got scared by that phoney ARG poll...

It´s not the phoney ARG poll (which was really off) but the declining trend of Obama in the Strategic Vision polls, going from +8 a couple of weeks ago to +1 now, while the LA Times has him only 3rd among likely voters, about the result I predict above.

[Tender Branson]

There are only close polls coming out of IA anymore.

Therefore my final prediction:

1. Clinton: 28% (16 delegates)

2. Edwards: 27% (15 delegates)

3. Obama: 26% (14 delegates)

Richardson: 8%
Biden: 7%
Dodd: 2%
Kucinich: 2%
Gravel: less than 1%

Turnout: 130.000-150.000