2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 650707 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #300 on: December 07, 2020, 12:35:47 PM »
NJ has just certified its results at a 10:30 election commission meeting.

Quote
Performing a largely ceremonial function, the New Jersey State Board of Canvassers today certified that the state’s 14 electoral votes will go to Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.

Biden carried New Jersey 725,061 votes against Donald Trump, 2,608,335 to 1,883,274.

The board also certified the re-election of U.S. Senator Cory Booker to another six-year term.  Booker received more votes than any statewide candidate in New Jersey history.

Booker received 2,541,178 votes, with 1,817,052 voters casting ballots for Republican Rik Mehta.  Despite losing, Mehta also set a record for the most votes ever received by a Republican statewide candidate in New Jersey.

The re-election of 12 incumbent members of the U.S. House of Representatives – Christopher Smith (R-Hamilton), Frank Pallone, Jr. (D-Long Branch), Bill Pascrell, Jr. (D-Paterson), Albio Sires (D-West New York), Donald Norcross (D-Camden), Donald Payne, Jr. (D-Newark), Bonnie Watson Coleman (D-Ewing), Josh Gottheimer (D-Wyckoff), Andy Kim (D-Moorestown), Tom Malinowski (D-Ringoes), Mikie Sherrill (D-Montclair), and Jeff Van Drew (R-Dennis) – were also certified.

https://newjerseyglobe.com/campaigns/its-official-biden-carries-new-jersey/

That only leaves CO and MO uncertified.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #301 on: December 07, 2020, 01:04:42 PM »
The recount in GA is complete, which means the SoS and Governor will re-certify results there today:

https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-joe-biden-donald-trump-georgia-elections-4eeea3b24f10de886bcdeab6c26b680a
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #302 on: December 07, 2020, 02:03:53 PM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on December 07, 2020, 01:28:25 PM
Aren't all states supposed to certify before december 8th?

No, they need to „resolve all disputes“ about EC allocation until tomorrow, but theoretically can certify as long as the EC hasn’t met and voted.

So, the last possible day would be Sunday or even Monday.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #303 on: December 07, 2020, 02:05:28 PM »
Quote from: emailking on December 07, 2020, 01:53:52 PM
Why do sites like CNN still say 99% reporting for all states even after certification?

Because news sites suck and stop updating after a while.

That’s why the US needs a national election commission like Brazil, Germany etc. where every state submits their vote updates until there’s a final result.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #304 on: December 08, 2020, 09:16:38 AM »
States that have already sent their Certificates of Ascertainment to the National Archives:



26/51

197 EV - Biden
153 EV - Trump
188 EV - None
538 EV - Total

https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020

NY, PA and GA might send new or amended certificates later on ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #305 on: December 08, 2020, 09:24:51 AM »
CNN says that both CO and MO will certify later today.

Those are the last two states (see original post).
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #306 on: December 08, 2020, 11:57:51 AM »
Quote from: Frank on December 08, 2020, 11:25:56 AM
California is being entertaining.

Click on here: https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/election-2020
It says 'official results'

click on that, it's says 'unofficial results.'

And Alex Padilla wants to be a U.S Senator?

From what I understand, CA has just certified already that Biden will receive their 55 EV for President, but will only certify the full election results in the coming days.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #307 on: December 08, 2020, 02:16:00 PM »
MO has just certified:

https://callnewspapers.com/november-election-results-certified-by-missouri-canvassers-including-ashcroft/

https://enr.sos.mo.gov/
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #308 on: December 08, 2020, 02:20:09 PM »
CO has just certified as the last state:

Quote
DENVER (CBS4)– Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold certified the state’s election results on Tuesday. Colorado had the second-highest turnout rate in the nation for the November election.

The official breakdown of voter turnout from the Secretary of State’s Office:

Total voter turnout: 3,291,548
Mail ballots: 3,092,903
In-person ballots: 198,645



https://denver.cbslocal.com/2020/12/08/colorado-election-results-jena-griswold-secretary-state/

Quote from: 2016 on December 08, 2020, 02:19:41 PM
California has not certified! The Official Certification of "All Races" is on Friday, December 11th!

CA has certified the Presidential race only:

https://www.archives.gov/files/electoral-college/2020/ascertainment-california.pdf
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #309 on: December 08, 2020, 02:22:32 PM »
The certification process is now complete !

All 50 states + DC are done.

Electoral Vote tracker, based on official/certified states + DC



51/51:

306 Biden
232 Trump

Quote
November 5th
Delaware

November 6th
New Hampshire

November 10th
Oklahoma
South Dakota
Vermont

November 11th
South Carolina
Wyoming

November 12th
North Dakota

November 17th
Florida

November 18th
Idaho
Mississippi
Virginia

November 19th
Louisiana
Massachusetts

November 20th
Georgia
Kentucky

November 23rd
Alabama
Maine (3 EV Biden, 1 EV Trump)
Michigan
Utah

November 24th
Arkansas
Hawaii
Indiana
Minnesota
Nevada
New Mexico
North Carolina
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Texas

November 25th
Connecticut

November 30th
Alaska
Arizona
Iowa
Montana
Nebraska (4 EV Trump, 1 EV Biden)
Rhode Island
Wisconsin

December 1st
Kansas
Washington
West Virginia

December 2nd
District of Columbia
Tennessee

December 3rd
New York
Oregon

December 4th
California
Illinois
Maryland

December 7th
New Jersey

December 8th
Colorado
Missouri

December 14th
Electoral College votes

Results:

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html
https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national-popular-vote-tracker?

States that have already sent their Certificates of Ascertainment to the National Archives:



26/51

197 EV - Biden
153 EV - Trump
188 EV - None
538 EV - Total

https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #310 on: December 08, 2020, 04:30:16 PM »
31/51 states have already submitted their certificates to the National Archives (+10 since yesterday).
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #311 on: December 09, 2020, 12:08:33 AM »
States that have already sent their Certificates of Ascertainment to the National Archives:



31/51

224 EV - Biden
159 EV - Trump
155 EV - None
538 EV - Total

https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #312 on: December 09, 2020, 12:10:53 AM »
Hawaii actually only certified yesterday, because there were a few objections filed that the Supreme Court all dismissed:

https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-general-elections-elections-courts-hawaii-9cf787832a381f215e3d6a838d8ceab5

But with CA, CO, HI, ID and MO all done, the certification process is now complete.

The remaining 20 certificates should arrive at the National Archives until Monday.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #313 on: December 09, 2020, 04:36:08 PM »
Wolf Blitzer / CNN also confirm that all 50 states & DC have certified:



Just waiting on all certificates to be received by the National Archives ...

Currently, it’s 32/51.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #314 on: December 10, 2020, 03:27:38 PM »
Big increase in certificates received by the National Archives.

41/51 certificates have been received (+9 vs. yesterday).

https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020

Missing are:

CO, CT, IA, KS, MD, MS, MO, NH, NM and UT.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #315 on: December 10, 2020, 03:36:57 PM »
Electoral Vote tracker, based on official/certified states + DC



51/51:

306 Biden
232 Trump

Quote
November 5th
Delaware

November 6th
New Hampshire

November 10th
Oklahoma
South Dakota
Vermont

November 11th
South Carolina
Wyoming

November 12th
North Dakota

November 17th
Florida

November 18th
Idaho
Mississippi
Virginia

November 19th
Louisiana
Massachusetts

November 20th
Georgia
Kentucky

November 23rd
Alabama
Maine (3 EV Biden, 1 EV Trump)
Michigan
Utah

November 24th
Arkansas
Indiana
Minnesota
Nevada
New Mexico
North Carolina
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Texas

November 25th
Connecticut

November 30th
Alaska
Arizona
Iowa
Montana
Nebraska (4 EV Trump, 1 EV Biden)
Rhode Island
Wisconsin

December 1st
Kansas
Washington
West Virginia

December 2nd
District of Columbia
Tennessee

December 3rd
New York
Oregon

December 4th
California
Illinois
Maryland

December 7th
New Jersey

December 8th
Colorado
Hawaii
Missouri

December 14th
Electoral College votes

Results:

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html
https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national-popular-vote-tracker?

States that have already sent their Certificates of Ascertainment to the National Archives:



41/51

271 EV - Biden
198 EV - Trump
  69 EV - None
538 EV - Total

https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #316 on: December 10, 2020, 03:50:07 PM »
Cook Political Report still stubbornly refuses to have CA, HI and ID listed as „certified“ - even though the National Archives have received all 3 certificates already ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #317 on: December 14, 2020, 12:53:05 PM »
Can the Archive please upload the 10 missing state certificates ?

What’s taking so long ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #318 on: December 16, 2020, 12:23:11 AM »
5 certificates have not arrived at the Archives yet ...

CT, KS, MO, NM and UT.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #319 on: December 16, 2020, 11:44:29 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 16, 2020, 12:23:11 AM
5 certificates have not arrived at the Archives yet ...

CT, KS, MO, NM and UT.

Meanwhile, 3 states + DC have already sent their Certificates of Vote (= Electorate College certificates) to the Archives.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #320 on: December 16, 2020, 01:13:10 PM »
Now, the National Archives have received Certificates of Vote from 10 states + DC.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #321 on: December 16, 2020, 03:54:05 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 16, 2020, 01:13:10 PM
Now, the National Archives have received Certificates of Vote from 10 states + DC.

15/51 Certificates of Vote (=electoral college votes) received now.

Certificates of Ascertainment (=election results) still stuck at 46/51 received.

WTF is taking CT, KS, MO, NM and UT so long ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #322 on: December 17, 2020, 11:14:27 AM »
NM's certificate of the election results has been received by the National Archives !

It took 23 days (!) to be shipped from Santa Fe to Washington DC ... LOL.

https://www.archives.gov/files/electoral-college/2020/ascertainment-new-mexico.pdf
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #323 on: December 17, 2020, 04:31:54 PM »
KS certificate of ascertainment (=election results) finally arrived in Washington.

https://www.archives.gov/files/electoral-college/2020/ascertainment-kansas.pdf

It was actually signed only 3 days ago, long after the safe harbour deadline ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #324 on: December 17, 2020, 11:53:57 PM »
24/51 Electoral Vote Certificates have been received at the Archives now.

48/51 Election Results Certificates are in (CT, MO, UT still missing).
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