FL-Florida Atlantic University: Biden +3 (or tie) (user search)
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  FL-Florida Atlantic University: Biden +3 (or tie) (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Florida Atlantic University: Biden +3 (or tie)  (Read 1514 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: September 15, 2020, 07:50:33 AM »

Biden holds a 49 percent to 46 percent lead, with 5 percent undecided.

But those undecideds are breaking for Trump 4:1, resulting in a statistical tie at 50 percent for each candidate.

Trump led Biden in FAU’s March poll, 51 percent to 49 percent, but Biden gained a 53 percent to 47 percent advantage in May.

Roughly 9 percent of Florida voters surveyed said there is a chance they will change their minds, while 97 percent of Trump voters and 94 percent of Biden voters insist they will stick with their choices.

Among Trump voters, 72 percent said they are extremely excited for the election, while 60 percent of Biden supporters expressed the same sentiment.

Quote
The survey of 631 registered Florida voters was conducted Sept. 11-12. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. It is important to remember that subsets carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The data was weighted by ethnicity, age, education, party affiliation, region and gender, based on 2016 Census Voting and Registration modeling. Data was collected using both an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines and cell phones provided by Aristotle Inc. and an online panel provided by Dynata. The polling results and full cross-tabulations are available at www.business.fau.edu/bepi.

http://www.fau.edu/newsdesk/articles/bepi-september.php

#s:

https://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/bepi-polls-2020/florida-2020-its-the-economy.php
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2020, 08:04:28 AM »

This is probably one of those polls we should take a close look at !

In 2016, they had Trump+2 in mid-August and Clinton+3 in late October.

In 2018, they were one of the few polls with Scott+1 twice and Gillium+4 (which was a bit off).

Anyway, pretty bad poll for Biden.

He must have a significant Latino problem in that state ...
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