IA-PPP: Trump +1 (user search)
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  IA-PPP: Trump +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-PPP: Trump +1  (Read 2057 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: June 05, 2020, 12:28:18 PM »
Iowa is definitely a swing state again this year.

Don’t understand why Trump should be favoured there ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2020, 04:29:09 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on June 05, 2020, 03:39:24 PM
Trump will win Iowa by over 10%. Mark my words.

This ain’t happening ...

Based on IA voter registration statistics from May and comparisons with May 2008, 2012 and 2016, primary enthusiasm on Tuesday and the likelihood that Indys will break for Biden this year, it’s very likely that IA will be a tossup or Biden +1 or +2.

The Democratic base is enthusiastic there right now, maybe not as much as in 2008 or 2012, but still ... and Indys will help Biden close the gap from 2016.
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