NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT) (user search)
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  NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT) (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)  (Read 50161 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: February 22, 2020, 12:03:57 AM »
« edited: February 22, 2020, 07:40:34 PM by YE »
Post information and results for the Democratic NV Caucus here.

Entrance will start at 10am PT (1pm Eastern, 7pm Europe).

Voting will start at noon PT (3pm Eastern, 9pm Europe).

About 70.000 people voted in advance already.

Please stick the thread on top as well.

Results
NY Times
CNN
DDHQ
Politico
NV Dems

Misc

Las Vegas precinct map
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2020, 12:21:34 AM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 22, 2020, 12:17:00 AM
Over or under 50% Nevada becomes Iowa 2.0?

The chances are lower because of the vast number of votes that were already cast (unless turnout hits 200.000 in total).

And even then, NV Dems use Ipads and Google to record the votes + a callcenter if these break down.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: February 22, 2020, 03:52:37 AM »
Quote from: Sbane on February 22, 2020, 01:51:43 AM
When will the entrance polls be released?

One can assume @ noon Pacific Time (3pm Eastern) when the voting starts.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: February 22, 2020, 03:56:47 AM »
Quote from: jimrtex on February 22, 2020, 02:30:29 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 22, 2020, 12:21:34 AM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 22, 2020, 12:17:00 AM
Over or under 50% Nevada becomes Iowa 2.0?

The chances are lower because of the vast number of votes that were already cast (unless turnout hits 200.000 in total).

And even then, NV Dems use Ipads and Google to record the votes + a callcenter if these break down.
What happens if early voting is massively dissimilar to in-person voting, or if nobody shows up tomorrow? Supposedly 85,000 participated in 2012, but there were 70,000 in person early this year.

NV has a fast-growing population, so the turnout will almost definitely be up from 2008 or 2016.

Might reach Iowa levels altogether (175.000) or maybe a bit lower.

Which I would still find kinda bad (only 25% of the 620.000 registered Dems in the state).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: February 22, 2020, 08:10:43 AM »
Interesting article about the process today:

Nevada Democrats demand that caucus site leaders sign nondisclosure agreements
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: February 22, 2020, 10:12:13 AM »
I'm pretty sure that the "entrance" poll will include interviews with early voters.

So, those early voters should be accounted for in the "exit" poll.

(I've read somewhere that exit pollster people interviewed early voters.)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: February 22, 2020, 10:29:16 AM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on February 22, 2020, 10:26:08 AM
Well I think if there's one important thing that we all bear in mind with these results, it's that it's pronounced "NE-VAD-UH" and not "NE-VAH-DUH". 

Got yelled at by a girl in my undergrad sorority for getting it wrong Tongue

As an Austrian, I pronounce it "Näh-wuh-duh".
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: February 22, 2020, 12:28:54 PM »
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: February 22, 2020, 12:31:14 PM »
Quote from: jimrtex on February 22, 2020, 12:29:12 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 22, 2020, 10:29:16 AM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on February 22, 2020, 10:26:08 AM
Well I think if there's one important thing that we all bear in mind with these results, it's that it's pronounced "NE-VAD-UH" and not "NE-VAH-DUH". 

Got yelled at by a girl in my undergrad sorority for getting it wrong Tongue

As an Austrian, I pronounce it "Näh-wuh-duh".

But you probably pronounce "Strine" like "Styrian"


No, like „wine“ (cave).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: February 22, 2020, 12:47:05 PM »
They are now starting to let people into the caucus precincts to register and/or check in.

This will take 2 hours until the caucusing begins.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: February 22, 2020, 12:51:05 PM »
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: February 22, 2020, 01:10:56 PM »
Quote from: 👁️👁️ on February 22, 2020, 01:09:38 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 22, 2020, 12:28:54 PM


Sounds like a good thing for Sanders. Henderson should be prime Buttigieg/"moderate" territory, at least the more white/southern parts of it.

It’s raining in all of Las Vegas ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: February 22, 2020, 01:14:55 PM »
Already large crowds of people everywhere and the doors have just opened for check-in:
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: February 22, 2020, 01:24:00 PM »




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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #14 on: February 22, 2020, 01:35:54 PM »
More videos & pics from the precinct check-ins:
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #15 on: February 22, 2020, 01:41:55 PM »
Lots of Pete folk in line in this video:
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #16 on: February 22, 2020, 02:39:49 PM »
Does any1 know if these entrants poll include early voters too ?

I don’t think we can draw any conclusions otherwise ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #17 on: February 22, 2020, 02:52:20 PM »
The more I hear on CNN from Dana Bash, the more concerned I am that the result processing will be a total chaos again ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #18 on: February 22, 2020, 02:54:59 PM »
So, if CNN shows results of the entrance poll (Sanders x% etc.) soon, will this be based on early votes only, today’s voters only, or both ?

Huh
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #19 on: February 22, 2020, 02:57:34 PM »
From what I understand from David Chalian, the entrance poll results are only TODAYs voters.

Early voters excluded !
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #20 on: February 22, 2020, 03:13:06 PM »
We need to wait for the actual votes.

This is an untested election with a mix of early voting and caucus votes.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #21 on: February 22, 2020, 04:13:07 PM »
So, watched a movie (it’s past 10pm here) and:

#CNN has 0% reporting
#DDHQ has 0% reporting
#NYT has 5/2100 precincts reporting
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #22 on: February 22, 2020, 04:20:42 PM »
Does the NV Dem Party not have a result page ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #23 on: February 22, 2020, 04:29:26 PM »
Quote from: atheist4thecause on February 22, 2020, 04:27:31 PM
Buttigieg getting so personal with Klobuchar is really hurting him. He has alienating Klobuchar supporters, who are now refusing to help him get viable.

No, it’s the other way around:

Klob was first to attack him on the debate stage a few months ago ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #24 on: February 22, 2020, 04:31:22 PM »
Does anyone know if the early votes are already included in those NYT numbers ?
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