New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (user search)
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  New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)  (Read 53564 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #25 on: February 11, 2020, 03:17:16 PM »
Good night.

I'll be back !

At around 2-3 AM.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #26 on: February 11, 2020, 03:20:57 PM »
Before I'm out, something to laugh at:
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #27 on: February 11, 2020, 07:13:26 PM »
I just woke up. Maybe too early ... nothing reported yet.

Looks like some polling places are still up until 2AM.

I think we should get an exit poll then and 1st numbers.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #28 on: February 11, 2020, 07:22:33 PM »
1st numbers coming in.

Very mixed depending on the town/precincts, but all strong for Pete/Amy/Bernie.

Other candidates with no chance.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #29 on: February 11, 2020, 07:27:25 PM »
5% in:

26% Bernie
25% Pete
19% Amy
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #30 on: February 11, 2020, 07:29:48 PM »
Amy got most of the late deciders, that’s pretty clear at the moment.

Pete also outperforming the polls, Bernie not so much ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #31 on: February 11, 2020, 07:31:23 PM »
6% in:

29% Bernie
23% Pete
18% Amy
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #32 on: February 11, 2020, 07:33:45 PM »
I like those numbers for Pete.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #33 on: February 11, 2020, 07:37:36 PM »
It probably looks as if Bernie slightly wins this, if current reporting trends hold.

In fact, the results could look exactly what the pre-election polling average looked like.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #34 on: February 11, 2020, 07:40:54 PM »
So, only 3 candidates will get delegates ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #35 on: February 11, 2020, 07:44:37 PM »
Turnout will probably be 350.000 on the Dem side and 150.000 on the Rep side.

Better than predicted.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #36 on: February 11, 2020, 07:47:09 PM »
12% in:

28% Bernie
23% Pete
19% Amy
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #37 on: February 11, 2020, 07:49:41 PM »
Hopefully Pete does better soon in Rural Hillsborough County ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #38 on: February 11, 2020, 07:57:52 PM »
Pete wins Hollis with 68% !

?

Is that a reporting error ? He’s netting more than 400 votes out of there.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #39 on: February 11, 2020, 08:00:33 PM »
Hollis corrected, Pete still wins.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #40 on: February 11, 2020, 08:01:57 PM »
18% in:

28% Bernie
23% Pete
19% Amy

Very stable results.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #41 on: February 11, 2020, 08:05:45 PM »
Turnout projection update:

320.000 (D)
125.000 (R)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #42 on: February 11, 2020, 08:06:33 PM »

How so ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #43 on: February 11, 2020, 08:14:09 PM »
Quote from: Senator Cris on February 11, 2020, 08:07:54 PM
Exit poll:

Sanders 25.9%
Buttigieg 21.7%
Klobuchar 21.1%
Biden 10%
Warren 8.7%

I think he’ll outperform this and will get 23.5% in the end.

Sanders 26.5% and Amy 21.5%

Reporting is pretty stable.

Im going back to sleep and look what has changed in 4 hours ...

Goodnight.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #44 on: February 11, 2020, 08:19:14 PM »
Hmm ...

The area around Nashua in the South seems to be pro-Pete and very populated.

https://www.citypopulation.de/en/usa/newhampshire/admin/

If he can run up the margin there, it’s not completely over yet.

We’ll have to see. Nothing really in yet from that Nashua area.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #45 on: February 11, 2020, 08:25:00 PM »
Quote from: 👁️👁️ on February 11, 2020, 08:21:49 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 11, 2020, 08:19:14 PM
Hmm ...

The area around Nashua in the South seems to be pro-Pete and very populated.

https://www.citypopulation.de/en/usa/newhampshire/admin/

If he can run up the margin there, it’s not completely over yet.

We’ll have to see. Nothing really in yet from that Nashua area.

What are the results in Hollis, those still have not shown up on the CNN map? If Pete has more than a 10% margin or so there maybe he might have at least a small chance.

Pete +4% over Amy and +12% over Bernie.

29-25-17.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #46 on: February 11, 2020, 08:27:10 PM »
Quote from: Forumlurker161 on February 11, 2020, 08:25:41 PM
Let’s not call the race for Sanders early until we get more of the Hillsborough votes in.

The problem for Pete there is that Amy does really well there too ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #47 on: February 11, 2020, 08:33:37 PM »
1/3rd of the vote in:

27.3% Bernie
22.8% Pete
19.7% Amy
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #48 on: February 11, 2020, 08:54:22 PM »
44% in:

27.1% Bernie
23.1% Pete
19.6% Amy

Turnout now projected down to 286.000
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #49 on: February 11, 2020, 08:57:49 PM »
Is Patrick next to quit it ?

Tulsi ?
Logged
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