Birthin' and Dying in America with updated state numbers

[Tender Branson]

The birth rate is down to 11.8 per 100.000 people and the death rate up to 8.6

In 1990, it was as high as 16.7, but then steadily dropped to 14 by the year 2000 and remained there for 5 years. In 2006-2007, it increased again to 14.3 and then started falling again each year.

As for the death rate, it remained virtually the same: in 1990 it was 8.6 and in 2000 it was 8.5 and then dropped to 8.0 by 2010 - but increased again since then (maybe because of the opioid crisis and people getting older, which is counterbalanced by better treatments for cancer and other health problems).

Natural increase is still about 1 million and legal immigration also more than 1 million, so the US should continue to grow at about 2 million to 2.3 million each year (+0.6 to 0.7%).

[Tender Branson]

As a comparison, final 2017 numbers for Austria were released today:

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http://www.statistik.at/web_en/press/117063.html

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http://www.statistik.at/web_en/press/117019.html

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http://www.statistik.at/web_en/press/117065.html

[Tender Branson]

It should be noted that 2016 was a leap year, meaning that births here (which decreased by 42) actually increased in 2017 when adjusted for the missing day* ...

* 240 kids are born here every day, so it means the actual number was ca. 200 higher than in 2016.

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April 1, 2018 population results were also released: 8.830.487 (+49.389 since April 1, 2017).

Because non-EU immigration to Austria is waning off, this growth is mostly driven by an EU immigration surplus (+39.097), rather than non-EU (+14.413). Austrian citizens had a net loss of -4.121 persons during the past year.

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Using these trends, Austria will pass 9 million people for the Oct. 31, 2021 register-based Census, up from 8.4 million in the 2011 Census.

[Tender Branson]

The intense fall in births, here, and even more dramatically in Europe, is one of our greatest challenges, and one I think about a lot.

Europe is rather mixed on this topic:

There are several countries such as Sweden, Norway, Germany, Austria, Switzerland - where births increased a lot in the past 2 decades (mostly because of immigrant mothers, but not exclusively).

Also, in Poland births reached a new record level last year - because of generous child tax benefits.

Eastern and Southern Europe (excl. Poland and the Czech Republic) have seen large declines though - because of their crappy economies.

Other countries such as France, the UK, Netherlands, Ireland had upticks in the early 2010s, but births have fallen again by a bit.

[Tender Branson]

During 2017, my district (Zell am See) ranked 27th among 116 Austrian districts in terms of the birth rate:

The Austrian average was 10 births/1000 people, but here it was 10.8/1000 people.

In terms of the death rate, Zell am See district had the 23rd-lowest:

The Austrian average was 9.5 deaths/1000 people, but here it was just 8.2/1000 people.

In terms of natural increase, it ranked 25th:

The Austrian average was 0.5/1000 people, but here it was 2.7/1000 people.

...

In other words, my district was very close to the US result last year.