Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans by 1-10 pts

[Tender Branson]

I'm sceptical of this poll, because it was done during Thanksgiving.

Over the TG holidays, even Obama's approval went up from 44% to about 50% in the tracking polls, which could mean this sample here is more Democratic than usual.

With the holidays over and the donkeys of the nation (=Democrats) back at work and not picking up the phones anymore, the polls are now back to normal. This poll is probably about 5% too Dem-friendly.

[Tender Branson]

So does Quinnipiac think the Democrats are going to win California and New York by 40 points or what? Because their national polls and state polls don't make any sense other wise.

More likely a combination of a few factors:

* The national poll here is too Dem because of more Dems being at home during Thanksgiving
* The CO poll being too GOP because of a historical undersampling of Blaxicasians in this state (CO's all-mail vote usually leads to higher turnout among these groups)
* Hilldog's heavy underperformance in CO relative to other Dems (=> Sanders, Obama)
* MoE movements

[Tender Branson]

I don't understand the "Democrats staying at home during Thanksgiving" argument, like whether being at home or not during a holiday is a partisan issue?

Previous studies have shown that if election day were not a Tuesday, but a Sunday or holiday - turnout and the Dem vote would increase because more Democrats and Blaxicasians would have the chance to vote.

I assume this is also the case for polling and holidays, because many ordinary working class folks (= minorities, Democrats) are at home and picking up the phones during these days. But not during the work week. Republicans, who are generally more wealthy and more flexible when it comes from being at home and working from home, are more likely to respond to pollsters during the work week.