LA-PPP: Swing state

[Tender Branson]

June 26-29, 2014
Survey of 664 Louisiana voters

...

Jeb Bush......................................................... 46%
Hillary Clinton.................................................. 45%

Mike Huckabee ............................................... 46%
Hillary Clinton.................................................. 45%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 46%
Rand Paul ....................................................... 46%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 46%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 45%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 46%
Chris Christie .................................................. 42%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 48%
Bobby Jindal ................................................... 44%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_LA_702.pdf

[Tender Branson]

If we take today's national Quinnipiac poll (Bush down 7, Huckabee & Paul down 9) and this LA poll, it would mean that LA is ca. 8-10 points more Republican than the nation.

That is similar to 2000 Gore levels, when the spread was also 8 points (up 0.5 nationally, down 7.5 in LA).

1992: R+1
1996: D+3
2000: R+8
2004: R+12
2008: R+26
2012: R+21
2014: R+9