IA/WI-PPP: Obama leads all Republicans in both states

[Tender Branson]

Iowa:

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 45%
Disapprove...................................................... 48%

Barack Obama................................................ 49%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 39%

Barack Obama................................................ 51%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 38%

Barack Obama................................................ 51%
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 34%

Barack Obama................................................ 51%
Herman Cain................................................... 33%

Barack Obama................................................ 54%
Sarah Palin ..................................................... 33%

Wisconsin:

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 45%
Disapprove...................................................... 51%

Barack Obama................................................ 47%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 42%

Barack Obama................................................ 50%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 40%

Barack Obama................................................ 51%
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 39%

Barack Obama................................................ 52%
Sarah Palin ..................................................... 40%

Barack Obama................................................ 50%
Herman Cain................................................... 36%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IAWI_0824.pdf

Obama vs. Romney

[Tender Branson]

This is an interesting case of the dichotomy of the PPP surveys.

The Wisconsin survey seems to be reasonably distributed in terms of respondents by partisan identification (37% Democrats, 34% Republicans and 29% Others/Independents) whereas the Iowa survey appears to be loaded in favor of Democrats (35% Democrat, 32% Republican and 33% Others/Independents).

When looking at Iowa, whether examining Registration, or exit polls (2008 and 2010), it would appear the Democrats constitute approximately 33% of likely 2012 voters, whereas Republicans constitute approximately 34% of likely 2012 voters.

The current party registration in Iowa is 33% DEM, 30% GOP and 37% IND.

[Tender Branson]

PPP will be polling Kentucky and South Carolina... and we just might see how a Northern right-winger and cultural vulgarian does in the South. OK, Kentucky is on the southern Fringe, but South Carolina wasn't.

I've lived in Kentucky for 38 years. And we don't like Perry.

The poll will likely show something very different.

I expect Perry to be close to 40% in the primary poll (without Palin included) and about 15% ahead of everyone else.

I also expect that Perry is about 10% ahead of Obama at this point.

[Tender Branson]

The poll will likely show something very different.

I expect Perry to be close to 40% in the primary poll (without Palin included) and about 15% ahead of everyone else.

I also expect that Perry is about 10% ahead of Obama at this point.

I go by what I see on the ground.

And we love Obama in these parts.

The part where you live in voted with 60% for McCain. It does not love Obama.

[Tender Branson]

This is an interesting case of the dichotomy of the PPP surveys.

The Wisconsin survey seems to be reasonably distributed in terms of respondents by partisan identification (37% Democrats, 34% Republicans and 29% Others/Independents) whereas the Iowa survey appears to be loaded in favor of Democrats (35% Democrat, 32% Republican and 33% Others/Independents).

When looking at Iowa, whether examining Registration, or exit polls (2008 and 2010), it would appear the Democrats constitute approximately 33% of likely 2012 voters, whereas Republicans constitute approximately 34% of likely 2012 voters.

The current party registration in Iowa is 33% DEM, 30% GOP and 37% IND.

Actually, the voter registration data as of August, 2011 is:

Party                              Number          Percentage
Democrat                      645,514                  33 
Republican                    610,285                  31
Other/Nonpartisan        705,919                 36
Total                          1,961,718                100

http://www.sos.state.ia.us/elections/voterreg/county.html

You forgot the inactive registered voters, of which there are more Democrats.