NH-SEN 2022 Megathread: General Dysfunction

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Still an open question how much political capital Sununu will spend supporting the nominee. Baker has conspicuously not supported most other Republican candidates, especially for federal office, but Sununu has more leeway.

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https://www.unionleader.com/news/politics/statehouse_dome/state-house-dome-gop-senate-field-likely-to-grow-and-shake-up-race/article_df7fb4b2-e802-5e45-931a-160a2187c008.html?block_id=998119

Per the Union Leader, Wendy Long, a former NY Senate candidate, is getting ready to run in NH. She is a Dartmouth grad who grew up in NH and worked for Senator Gordon Humphrey. Still, this is ridiculous. If she wins the primary that's three carpetbaggers in a row (not counting Ayotte). My initial reaction though is that she might have a bit of a hill to climb as I doubt she has very high name recognition, not to mention nothing by way of existing support or brand within the state (a note as well that outside of this Union Leader mention, I see nothing in other NH news about this). She basically has all of Scott Brown's liabilities without any of the strengths he may have had. Her only strength would be outside connections, including a possible Trump endorsement, which the article seems to suggest Lewandowski might try to get for her. Needless to say, she would be an awful candidate against Hassan.

Carpetbaggers from the high-tax states in the rest of the Northeast are the Republican base in NH (and to a lesser extent VT). Nothing strange here nor a death sentence. Long’s candidacy could be interesting given how low the bar currently is.

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So probably Morse? Smith isn't really catching fire like I expected.

Either would be a surprise given Bolduc's apparent lead. Nobody here has any of Trump's apparent three keys to an endorsement: (1) a solid advantage, (2) a personal connection, or (3) a sincere adherence to his policies.

Have to consider the possibility that Lewandowski is just lying.

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This isn't the best message to put out in the sixth-most pro-choice state in the country (66% of voters in New Hampshire think abortion should be legal in all or most cases).

"Or most" doing a lot of work here, but Bolduc not doing the work himself to capitalize on it.

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I still think Bolduc has run a bad campaign. He’s a good candidate on paper and could easily be saved by a wave, though.

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It would be big time #TRENDS if Bolduc won and Masters lost.

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She’s also just a very, very poor candidate (and there’s a reason why she’s the only deeply unpopular New England incumbent).

As often happens, I agree with everything in your comment but want to point out a tweak: last time I checked, Elizabeth Warren had remarkably mediocre popularity (<57%) for a Massachusetts Dem.