Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Senator Incitatus]

I really don't get it. I always thought it's because not more gets done in congress, however, I'm not sure whether there's not more to it. Maybe Democratic policies aren't as popular as liberals and progressives in mostly academic circles (let alone Europe) think they are and Trump was basically just barely voted out of office because he was uniquely unlikeable and scandal-plagued figure. Maybe not even because of the latter, since no scandal seems to stick long term. I mean, he de facto supported a insurrection. After that you would assume that he and his party are out of business for the rest of the decade.

People may just not care about all these scandals as long as [Trump] represents their cultural convictions and as long as other problems like inflation, deindustralization and poor wages continue to exist. I personally still believe center-left policies are better to address these issues and Democrats do hilariously poor in selling their solutions.

Yup, you could have a point here. In all honesty, 2020 may have been more a "not election of Trump" rather than a mandate for Biden and the Democratic Party/progressive politics.

It may have simply been an election of "no more Tweets." Voters want Trump back now that he's not online, which was pretty much the only near-universal criticism of him.

[Senator Incitatus]

Why on earth do you guys think this will hurt Biden?

Americans rally to pres during stuff like this

Because Biden has failed. It will be worse than Afghanistan.

I just checked the news and the crisis is still unfolding.  It's rather premature to declare Biden a failure.  Your logic would have declared FDR a failure after Pearl Harbor.

You're becoming tiresomely repetitive.  I'm putting you on Ignore for a while.

Not sure who doesn't believe that Pearl Harbor was a failure of FDR's leadership.

[Senator Incitatus]

NEVADA (Suffolk, 4/2 - 4/6)

35% Approve
59% Disapprove (-24)

Back in April 2018, I rated Michigan-Wisconsin-Pennsylvania as Lean D for 2020. Was I being too optimistic at the time? I'm still not sure. I'm considering rating Nevada as Lean R for 2024 right now. Have I shifted from being overly optimistic about Democratic Party candidate's chances to being overly pessimistic?

Recovering from a 35% approval rating in a state is going to be very difficult given the times. I don't think things were ever this bad for Obama in any battleground state pre-2012.

My hottest take remains that Nevada will no longer be a true battleground post-COVID. Lockdowns and general economic distress have devastated the tourism industry in Vegas and reduced the Democratic voter base by sending a lot of Vegas voters out of the state permanently, let alone alienating persuadable voters for the near future. I think it will have the largest Republican swing in 2024.

[Senator Incitatus]

He should stop playing those video games with Trump and Obama if he wants the American people to take him seriously.

[Senator Incitatus]

Given the continued decline in Biden’s approval polling, I think this can safely be called the worst SOTU (politically) since Ford or Carter.