Great new demographic-based Electoral College calculator by Nate Silver

[opebo]

This is funny, If I put 100% Citizenship/100% Voting and give Obama 100% for all the nonwhite vote, Dems only need 13% of the white vote to win the election by 2048.

You don't like that do you?

Actually I just checked that - given the parameters you stipulate, I get only 10% of the white vote as necessary to win in 2048.

[opebo]

This is funny, If I put 100% Citizenship/100% Voting and give Obama 100% for all the nonwhite vote, Dems only need 13% of the white vote to win the election by 2048.

You don't like that do you?

No, I'm fine with it.  Whoever wins the most votes should win, IMO.  It's just interesting how sliding the scales different ways can give very, very different results.

The glaring thing that playing with this map has brought home to me is how very important it is to keep at least in the high 30s of whites voting Democratic.  As Skill-and-Chance points out, a deterioration in the white vote percentage can create a huge electoral vote deficit even while the Democrats win narrowly in popular vote.  Terrifying.

[opebo]

Anyway, I've played around with the numbers in order to find out what a "postracial" 2012 election would look like. I've turned off the "immigration reform" controls

How do you 'turn off' a function on this map?  I don't see any option for that.

[opebo]

Anyway, I've played around with the numbers in order to find out what a "postracial" 2012 election would look like. I've turned off the "immigration reform" controls

How do you 'turn off' a function on this map?  I don't see any option for that.

Set the percent of amnestied illegals who become citizens to 0%.

Oh I see, I thought that was including the normal amount of aliens who would become citizens anyway, not only those who would do so through amnesty.