India 2021 assembly elections - TN, Kerala, WB, Assam, and perhaps J&K

[Sestak]

The answer, as always, is "it remains to be seen". Certainly prevailing opinion is still that 2024 is Modi's to lose. But things can always change. Even if the pandemic doesn't sink Modi completely, it could make him more vulnerable + allow a potentially more coherent oppositon/alternative to him to emerge.

To counter OSR's point, "the Democratic Party" is not at all a popular institution either! If Biden was seen the way the electorate sees a 'standard Democratic politician', he would have lost. He won because he separated himself and presented himself as a uniquely stabilizing figure.

Similarly, any opposition to Modi/BJP at this point has to come with that first and foremost; a presentable alternative as a plausible Prime Minister. And right now, it's very difficult to point to one person who can emerge as that. Especially within INC. Rahul has been tried twice before and quite frankly is not an easy person to picture as PM. They may try to present him as "matured" or whatever but I think (hope?) at this point that even they realize this is too stupid to try again (though this is Congress, so you never know). Priyanka could be a slightly better choice, as she's more popular and not generally seen as a bumbling idiot kid, but still...I'm rather skeptical on her, as well. Would take a radical shift within Congress for them to pick someone other than those two right now, and so without some credible alternative emerging Modi may well just end up as the only man standing.

[Sestak]

Everything in line with prevailing exits so far, it would seem. WB should be down to the wire.

[Sestak]

Disastrous result for INC.  Gandhi family hold on party could be in doubt after this.

On the other hand, potential golden opportunity nationally for Banerjee, yes?