Preclearence is dead. Shelby got rid of 4(b) and until a Democratic Trifecta establishes new criteria to make section 5 work, no locality is under it's coverage. It's 5-1, 100%. It's also gonna be the 2nd getting cut, since everyone else has tenure.
I wouldn't be so sure about the 2nd getting cut. Why not the 6th or the 4th?
Palmer and especially Aderholt have much more seniority vs freshman in the 2nd
Palmer's only been there since 2015. He's in fact the least senior GOPer in the delegation (Roby has won almost twice as many House elections as him), and he represents a seat that borders all but 2 of the other CDs, and has a central location, to boot.
But Roby is retiring. And also I think her district bleeds population quite heavily?