Current 2020 map based on Morning Consult tracking

[Sadader]

What's with Iowa?

Iowa started out quite positive towards Trump, but it soon started to change around May last year. I guess with the current trade war with Canada, Mexico and other close allies, Iowans aren't necessarily going to warm towards Trump anytime very soon.

21. Iowa: +9 +4 +4 +2 -6 -8 -9 -10 -11 -10 -10 -12 -10 -2 -11 -7 -7 (-94)

The entire upper midwest has quickly soured on Trump though, including Minnesota, Wisconsin and Illinois, even North Dakota and to some degree Indiana. This change has happened more abruptly than in most other regions.

A similar turnaround to what Obama saw in his second term.

[Sadader]

20. New Mexico: -94
20. Iowa: -94

Flashbacks to 2004 anyone? RIP the ascendant IA NM soul bond everyone assumed would hold.