Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[QAnonKelly]

Lol they’re wasting so much of their money. Abrams has more cash than both of them

[QAnonKelly]

That will not only consolidate but likely intensify after the end of the month (Abrams' will as well). I'm expecting Abrams to be outraised 2:1 in Q3. They're catching up but it's unfortunate they spent so much money early on (and in retrospect, probably also unnecessary).

Do you mean Abrams spending money unnecessarily early on or Cagle and Kemp?

[QAnonKelly]

That will not only consolidate but likely intensify after the end of the month (Abrams' will as well). I'm expecting Abrams to be outraised 2:1 in Q3. They're catching up but it's unfortunate they spent so much money early on (and in retrospect, probably also unnecessary).

Do you mean Abrams spending money unnecessarily early on or Cagle and Kemp?

Abrams

 I guess hindsight is 20/20 and her team thought the primary would be closer but spending so much early on has been her only real mistake

[QAnonKelly]

The Academy Award for Best Actor goes to.....

https://youtu.be/rtRYWCYVuxY

LOL at words coming out of his own mouth being "fake news"

Love the two random black guys in the crowd

[QAnonKelly]

The Academy Award for Best Actor goes to.....

https://youtu.be/rtRYWCYVuxY

LOL at words coming out of his own mouth being "fake news"

WHAT IS HE DOING?! Why? This makes no sense!
Kemp was positioning himself as the Firebrand before the primary and now, Cagle was suppost to be the moderate statesmen. Why is he doing this? Why is he discarding the brand he has made to appeal to the suburbs? The only reason must be hes down, but this will just get rid of the voters who didnt like Kemp's shotgun and son-in-law to be.

Now that I look at this primary, it is shaping up to be a repeat of the Dem primary. Two different candidates spar, one paints themself as the moderate, the other as the firethrower, then the moderate changes positions to be the firethrower and make the previous firethrower the moderate. Im thinking Kemp is gonna win this.

I'm leaning that way too.  There's almost a sense of desperation coming from Cagle at this point.

Kemp has had the momentum for a while now

[QAnonKelly]

Hilariously enough, this campaign persona is closer to the real Cagle than what he's been pretending to be all this time.

If he's trying to pivot, it's happening too late in the runoff. He might be doing it to get a start if he gets through the GE.

[QAnonKelly]

Speaking of demographics, is this the last time GA will vote statewide as a majority white state? It could very well be majority minority by the time of the pres/senate elections in 2020.

[QAnonKelly]

I’d agree that Gov is a tossup. I could see at least one statewide office going D and if I had to guess it’d be SoS.

[QAnonKelly]

There’s a run off debate happening rn.

https://www.wsbtv.com/news/local/2-gop-candidates-for-governor-to-debate-on-channel-2/787533005

[QAnonKelly]

I still see this as Lean R.

As do I. I think Abrams is running a great campaign, but 50+1 will be tough

TBH with you, I think the 50%+1 is a bit overplayed. Yes, its an obstacle, but its not an electoral wall. All you need is the more enthused base on a special election, and if its held in 2018/2019, the advantage goes to the Dems.

I rate this race as pure tossup, as I dont know the R, and how strong each R would be in the general.

I think there are too many moving parts to call this anything other than a tossup. Abrams has run a great campaign thus far but she’s also been very lucky. Her luck could end up running out or she could slip up and make a big mistake. There’s no doubt whoever emerges from the runoff is damaged goods, we just don’t know how damaged or who emerges. As of right now, I think this race is gonna come down to the wire. Just depends on if someone can pull away once the runoff of is over.

[QAnonKelly]

https://twitter.com/PhilKentAtl/status/1018491048643956737

The link also says Hunter Hill will be endorsing Kemp this week.

Wonder if the religious liberty pact is still in effect

[QAnonKelly]

Lol Cagle.

[QAnonKelly]

Who is going to win the R runoff?

I think Kemp will win by a pretty big margin

[QAnonKelly]

Assuming Kemp is the nominee, I think Abrams can win Cobb

[QAnonKelly]

Not if she has high turnout and Kemp being on the ticket makes some educated white suburbanites either stay home or leave Governor blank.

[QAnonKelly]

If Kemp wins the GE, I could see him losing in four years. He’s not a good fit, the math will be better for the D, and it’ll have been 20 years with Rs in the governor’s office

[QAnonKelly]

Y’all think Kemp should recuse himself for at least the Gubernatorial election? They were talking about it on GBP yesterday. There’s not precedence for it but there’s also not precedence for what has happened either. I think Barrow is going to win regardless but I’ll be glad to have someone come in and clean up this mess

[QAnonKelly]

Abrams is on The Daily Show tonight

[QAnonKelly]

The Deals were in a pretty bad financial spot when he won in 2010 (granted that was still during the recession) and he won. The state’s in a good financial place under his leadership so I don’t see why Abrams being in a bad financial spot should be a big dealbreaker. They’re even similar situations.  The Deals were helping their daughter and SIL, Abrams helping her parents and brother. Kemp doesn’t have the best personal financial history either. I think it’s a bad line of attack. People understand others helping their family members with money.

[QAnonKelly]

The Deals were in a pretty bad financial spot when he won in 2010 (granted that was still during the recession) and he won. The state’s in a good financial place under his leadership so I don’t see why Abrams being in a bad financial spot should be a big dealbreaker. They’re even similar situations.  The Deals were helping their daughter and SIL, Abrams helping her parents and brother. Kemp doesn’t have the best personal financial history either. I think it’s a bad line of attack. People understand others helping their family members with money.

Because she's black and blacks are bad with money.[/sarcasm]

If anyone can handle these baseless, lazy attacks it's Stacey, so I'm not too worried about it.

I liked her rebuttal ad. Simple and to the point without getting into name calling

[QAnonKelly]

https://www.cnn.com/2018/08/14/politics/georgia-brian-kemp-voter-data/index.html


Lol

[QAnonKelly]

Bunch of new organizers joined the team today. At this point in the campaign four years ago, the field organizing staff was 70 percent Georgia residents/30 out-state residents this year it is 70/30 but in the complete reverse. The staff is already about double what it was when Carter ran with more joining next month.

That’s awesome. Glad to see more resources getting poured into it. I emailed them about writing postcards and I haven’t heard back. 😢

[QAnonKelly]

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/17/opinion/columnists/stacey-abrams-georgia-governor-debt.html

Pretty much sums up my opinion about Abrams’s financial situation