Michigan State House and Senate districts by party

[Republican Michigander]

19th  rep  53.13%   dem   46.87%  (Livonia in Wayne county)

The rep there ran slightly behind President Bush. Not sure why.

26th  rep  45.16%   dem   49.07% (Royal Oak in Oakland county)

Open seat in 04. Kerry won this district big.

30th   rep  53.85%   dem  46.15% (Sterling Heights in Macomb county)

Open seat in 04. About even with Bush. This is probably a strong GOP lean.

39th   rep  52.39%   dem  45.32% (Commerce/ West Bloomfield Oakland Co)

One to watch as W. Bloomfield is becoming a democrat stronghold. Commerce is a GOP stronghold but smaller.

51st   rep  54.55%   dem  45.45%  (South Genese county NOT Flint area)

Dave Robertson runs well here. This area slightly leans GOP.

55th   rep  49.68%   dem  50.32%  (the rest of Monroe county)

The Monroe part of this district leans GOP, but this also contains democrat stronghold Pittsfield Twp in Washtenaw County.

56th   rep  47.10%   dem  49.11%  (Eastern Monroe county)

Slightly democrat leaning, but Monroe County is overall moving to the right. Open seat in 06.

61st   rep  54.89%   dem  45.11% (Western Kalamazoo co. and Kalamazoo twp)

Jack Hoogendyk won here twice. Probably will be running again. Sleeper.

62nd  rep  53.37%   dem  46,63% (Calhoun Not including Battle Creek)

This seat leans slightly democrat. Mike Nofs won here twice and has one more term. It was held by a democrat beforehand.

64th   rep. 50.51%   dem  49.49% (Jackson county not the city)

Bush ran very well in Jackson and helped Leslie Mortimer beat a strong democrat here.

65th   rep. 51.38%   dem  48.62% (Jackson city and east Jackson co.)

Bush helped win this one as well for Rich Baxter over the mayor of Jackson.

67th   rep  45.20%    dem  54.80%  (Ingham county but Not lansing area)

This district went for Bush. Dianne Byrum is a popular democrat termed out. This should be ours in 06.

75th   rep. 52.23%   dem  47.77% (Grand Rapids city part)

This one is most likely to flip. John Kerry won this district with about 54%

91st   rep  51.99%   dem  48.01% (Muskegon county not including the city)

This district is always close. David Farhat has one more term.

97th   rep  51.66%    dem  48.34% (Bay, Arenac, Gladwin, Clare counties)

John Kerry won this district narrowly, but social conservatives won this for Tim Moore over the gay marriage issue.

107th  rep  46.47%  dem  53.53%  (Emmett, Mackinac, Chippewa)

This is a 57% Bush district. Walt North PO'ed the NRA with his dove hunting vote and lose because of this. This is a good chance for us.

[Republican Michigander]

You have term limits for the House?

State House limits - 3 two year terms

State Senate, Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State - 2 four year terms.

I don't support term limits (creates lame ducks), but that's how it is.

[Republican Michigander]

You have term limits for the House?

State House limits - 3 two year terms

State Senate, Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State - 2 four year terms.

I don't support term limits (creates lame ducks), but that's how it is.

That's quite short really (for the legislature). When were they introduced? How quickly till you can run again?

That's it. After the terms are up, they are up for good unless term limits are repealed.

I think it was either 1994 or 1996 when they were introduced through ballot initiative.

[Republican Michigander]

Awesome maps!

I agree that the Dems have a good shot at taking the legislature. Much of it depends on whether Granholm wins, and if so, by how much. A strong Granholm win would help a lot.

I don't believe coattails will matter much here unless there's a rare 10%+ victory.

In 04, they went both ways where the anti-Bush vote flipped two seats in Washtenaw County and a pro-Bush vote in Jackson probably saved two seats for us.

Although even a strong Bush performance up North didn't matter there. Walt North got "upset"(NRA), and the Alpena seat stayed democrat. One thing I respect about the voters up North - VERY strong independent streak.