Louisiana Gubernatorial Primary - 20 October 2007

[sethm0]

Jindal 55%
Boasso 22%
Campbell 11%
Georges 9%
Others 2%

 Or thereabouts.

[sethm0]

 In other LA races, I'm predicting Landrieu, Odom, and Dardenne winning re-election. Caldwell will win Attorney General. These are just guesses.

[sethm0]

 BTW, check out this map from the Louisiana SOS office: http://www.gcr1.com/electionscentral/.

 If it works it looks like it will be awesome.

[sethm0]

When are Louisiana state legislative elections held, BTW? 
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 Today.

[sethm0]

When are Louisiana state legislative elections held, BTW? 

 Today.

Really?  I haven't seen any coverage lately -all the focus has been on the governor's race.  So, how's it looking?  Will Democrats retain control of the Louisiana legislature?  Or does it look as if Republicans will gain control of at least one house of the legislature?

  Dems went into the night with large majorities in both houses, but most of their incumbents term-limited out. For example, Dems had a 20 seat majority in the House, but 26 incumbents term-limited out. Also keep in mind, that some of the Dems who can run for re-election are really DINOs who may switch parties under a Governor Jindal.

 So there is a fair amount of drama around legislative races. Most seem to think the Dems will keep (smaller) majorities, but we shall see...

[sethm0]

 The most fascinating numbers coming in are from Orleans Parish. The two Democrats are in 3rd and 4th and Republican-turned-Independent John Georges is winning. This is just remarkable. Katrina really has changed New Orleans, and the two Democrats did a horrible job with African-American turnout.

[sethm0]

 It looks like the Democrats won a couple of Parishes - traditionally Republican Parishes (St. Bernard, Red River, etc)!!!
 
 Though the final outcome of the race is pretty much as expected, the particulars are fascinating.

[sethm0]

Incumbent Insurance Commissioner Donelion up to 50.52% (rounds to 51% now) with 3760/3967 (94.78%) precincts reporting.

 The second-place candidate, Jim Crowley, spent a grand total of $15 on his campaign, and he may make a run-off! I have my fingers crossed...

[sethm0]

 St. Tamanny is very conservative. I think we can count on Alexander and Donelon eeking it out.

[sethm0]

 
 The New Orleans Governor results are just mind-boggling. I knew Katrina changed New Orleans, but wow.

[sethm0]

What $15 can get you

 This shows how upset people in Louisiana are at the Insurance Industry.

[sethm0]

here's the Attorney General Map, Caldwell in red, Foti in green

That is a weird set of results.

 It's not that weird. Alexander did well in the Republican strongholds of the state - Northern LA, Lafayette and St. Tammany. It seems that Foti held onto the Cajun (south central LA) strongholds and Caldwell picked up most of the rest.

 The main issue in the race was Foti's handling of the Katrina nursing home case. I guess it became a big media circus and he sort of mishandled it. I imagine that those who did stick with Foti will mostly go to Caldwell - I predict Caldwell wins it with about 58-42.