Louisiana Gubernatorial Primary - 20 October 2007

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

Maps are updated!

http://www.gcr1.com/electionscentral/

[Kevinstat]

It will be Caldwell v. Alexander in the AG runoff.  Forti would have to lead Alexander by about 236.48% in those five precincts to catch him.

Darn.  Couldn't call it first.  Oh well.

[Joe Biden 2020]

This means, going into the November 6 races with Kentucky and Mississippi, the Democrats hold a 27-23 advantage in governor's mansions including the Louisiana flip.  However, Kentucky will probably flip while Mississippi stays GOP, bringing the Democrats back to a 28-22 advantage.  It will probably end up being 1-for-1 deal.  You give me Louisiana and I'll give you Kentucky.  Sounds like a Monopoly game of the states or something.

[sethm0]

 
 The New Orleans Governor results are just mind-boggling. I knew Katrina changed New Orleans, but wow.

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

It looks like Borasso didn't win a single county

Scratch that - he won his home parish, St. Bernard - the map just wasn't updated.

[StateBoiler]

We should look at differences in turnout since the last governor election, especially New Orleans.

[Sam Spade]

My prediction:

Jindal 53%
Boasso 19%
Campbell 12%
Georges 11%
Other 5%

If Jindal were to pull over 55%, Landrieu should really watch out, imho.

Actual numbers:
Jindal 54%
Boasso 17%
Georges 14%
Campbell 13%
Other 2%

Pretty good, I must say, for a prediction with few polls (pats himself on back  ).  Overall, looking at the results, Jindal made his biggest gains in northern Baptist Louisiana - places around Shreveport (and Jena too).  The Orleans gains were not as huge for Jindal as these gains (he ran about 5% above where he did last time - and he ran ahead of your typical Republican here even last time)

[HardRCafé]

Alexander leads Foti by 5999 votes.

Not sure what happened there.

[Sam Spade]

Alexander over Foti by 5999 votes.

Not sure what happened there.

4 precincts in St. Tammany looks like...

[RBH]

Lt. Governor's Race Map (with 5 precincts out)



Gotta love how Landrieu got 89% in an area that he couldn't pull a mayoral victory in last year.

[Kevinstat]

Not that it matters one iota, but 4 of the 5 remaining precincts are in St. Tammany Parish with the fifth in Madison Parish.

Okay now just that one in Madison remaining

[HardRCafé]

Alexander by 6081.

[RBH]

here's the Attorney General Map, Caldwell in red, Foti in green

[HardRCafé]

I'm even happier about Foti losing than Jindal winning.

[RBH]

I'm even happier about Foti losing than Jindal winning.

Yeah, but Caldwell is going to roll over Alexander.

And I can't explain how Robert Wooley did better parishwise than the Democratic gubernatorial candidates.

[Verily]

Holy crap. All 3 of the top candidates were Republicans at the beginning of this year. They got 86% between them.

Yes. By endorsing Jindal without even considering anyone else, the state party alienated two other Republicans.
---

Also of interest to me personally, my mother's forth cousin's husband is in first place in a 6 way house election and (barring a big shift) will be in a run-off next month.

You know who your mother's fourth cousin's husband is!?

[RBH]

What $15 can get you

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I've put up an interesting analysis of this alleged election on my political blog:

http://onlinelunchpail.blogspot.com/2007/10/what-republicans-actually-picked-up.html

[HardRCafé]

Paranoia, paranoia
Everybody's coming to get me

[sethm0]

What $15 can get you

 This shows how upset people in Louisiana are at the Insurance Industry.

[Verily]

What $15 can get you

 This shows how upset people in Louisiana are at the Insurance Industry.

Or that no one knows who the incumbent Insurance Commissioner is because the race was ignored.

[Tender Branson]

Turnout = 46%

Registered Voters: 2.824.000

Turnout (Gov.): 1.298.000

[bgwah]

Hmm, this is an interesting election. I supposes 48% in 2003 to 54% today isn't really that huge of a jump considering the demographic changes in the state. New Orleans may have been close, but Jindal only went from 32% to 35%. Of course this is a primary and not a run-off, but Jindal was still the only Republican candidate on the ballot, wasn't he? It would only appear close because of the Democratic vote being split. Although New Orleans losing such a huge chunk of its population means it has much less influence than it did before.

Anyway, my condolences to any sane Louisianans out there. You guys now have an evil man as your Governor.

[MarkWarner08]

Hmm, this is an interesting election. I supposes 48% in 2003 to 54% today isn't really that huge of a jump considering the demographic changes in the state. New Orleans may have been close, but Jindal only went from 32% to 35%. Of course this is a primary and not a run-off, but Jindal was still the only Republican candidate on the ballot, wasn't he? It would only appear close because of the Democratic vote being split. Although New Orleans losing such a huge chunk of its population means it has much less influence than it did before.

Anyway, my condolences to any sane Louisianans out there. You guys now have an evil man as your Governor.

How is Jindal an "evil man"? He may be a conservative, but he's of the "competent, managerial" breed.

[HardRCafé]

You must be unfamiliar with Jesus here.