2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Virginia

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Dems should find a way to pass this NoVA incumbent protection (kind of, otherwise they'd lose all 3 seats) map:



OK, here is some info about the districts:

Fox News anchor Laura Ingraham (R-McLean) cruises to victory in the redrawn Trump +1/Northam +3 VA-10, Jennifer Wexton probably retires and moves to VA-09 to tout her 100% score from the AFL-CIO, which will surely get those racist hicks to vote for her.

Ingraham would be an especially good fit for this district because she'd excite the right-wing rural base, and her fiery rants about average Joe stuff would be appealing to no nonsense Dulles Airport WWC workers.

Don Beyer's VA-08 would shift 7-9 points to the left (Clinton +57, Northam +60) and become a majority-minority district, which would essentially save Beyer from a grueling reelection battle against John Vihstadt (R-Arlington), whom I talked about in this thread. Still, Vihstadt is such a strong candidate that he'd keep his loss within single digits. I could even see him pulling off an upset if Latino Hero Ron DeSantis campaigns for him in Springfield & Dale City.

Carly Fiorina would run in a Clinton +4/Northam +7 district. Again, she wins very easily by campaigning hard against the SALT cap. I could see Fiorina's grifter opponent raising a lotta money, but the DCCC would probably triage it in August.

Thoughts? I worked very hard on this.

You are late to April Fools stuff.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Your calculator is very flawed because it looks at things by the level of precinct size, and not by district size tbh.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Here is a link to the VA CD map now law in DRA:

https://davesredistricting.org/join/5298ec04-4c21-4270-8071-8ddc0b3631f1

I was interested in how much was in play be moving the tiny county in population (7,348) of Rappahannock out of VA-07 and into VA-10. The answer is 60 basis points in margin Biden over Trump in VA-07, in a pretty strong lean Dem seat either way at the moment. That was enough for the Masters to change the lines. They both were  really sweating it out, line by line, precinct by precinct, and balancing, and they both did it with honesty and skill, and tried as best they could to be nonpartisan. And both have enhanced their reputations - a lot - in my view.

By drawing a Republican gerrymander in a Safe Democratic state?

Please show how you would draw a nonpartisan VA map yourself. Because the way I would draw it would have the median seat be about 2 points to the right of where the Court drew the median seat by 2020 pres numbers, and would possibly also have 1 fewer seat that voted for Biden, and definitely have 1 fewer seat that voted for Clinton in 2016 with a change of 5 points as to the partisanship of the median seat.

I have not yet drawn a 2020s map that I have fully liked, but I have for the 2010s, and this is what it looks like: