She will do around what McCaskill did.
She will likely do worse
1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates
It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.
It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....
Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?
The logical conclusion of Todd Akins comments is that
"anyone on trial for rape in criminal court should automatically be acquitted if it can be determined that the sexual intercourse resulted in a pregnancy".
That is far away from even the usual conservative position on the issue which is that
"the rapists crimes are their own and its unfair to punish the unborn child too for said crimes".
Anyways, Tilt D, assuming a recession occurs.