Predict your home state races. (user search)
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  Predict your home state races. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict your home state races.  (Read 3776 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,777


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: July 04, 2018, 06:22:00 PM »

Govermor: Jealous 52-47
Senator: Cardin 65-31
House: 000 (07-01)
State Senate: D+002 (035-012)
State Delegates: D+011 (102-039)
Attorney General: Frosh
Comptroller: Franchot
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,777


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2018, 12:18:37 PM »

New Jersey:

Senate: Bob Menendez

NJ-01: Don Norcross
NJ-02: Jeff Van Drew (by a 20 point margin)
NJ-03: Andy Kim (narrowly)
NJ-04: Josh Welle (by some insanely small margin, <1000 votes)
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer
NJ-06: Frank Pallone
NJ-07: Tom Malinowski (by a small but decent margin)
NJ-08: Albio Sires
NJ-09: Bill Pascrell
NJ-10: Donald Payne
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill (by a decent margin)
NJ-12: Bonnie Watson Coleman

Bruh, that would indicate a wave that would be like 06 size if not bigger.

If Chris Smith gets ousted? Wew lad, we're talking about triple digit Dem gains.

Smith losing is more wishful thinking, but I personally think that major Democratic gains are going to be very much localized. I think Jersey is going to be the epicenter of that wave along with California, New York and a couple other states. NJ-04 is going to be the hardest task, given that it's tied with NY-11 for the being the most pro-Trump district in the Northeast.

What about NY-27?
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