Why are people calling McCaskill lucky for Akin? I guess she is lucky that he ran, but McCaskill also personally picked him out to be her opponent. That's a lot more skill than luck to me. She spent millions to make Akin her opponent through a clever ad strategy. That's more than luck. She is one of the strongest campaigners there is.
I think she is both good and lucky, in all honesty. It did take luck for her to get Akin, even with the brilliant strategy to pick him out. Let's not forget he led in zero polls in the Missouri GOP primary.
Not only that, but McCaskill trailed in every single poll against Akin from March until the "legitimate rape" comments. She needed the luck of Akin making an absolutely horrific gaffe to pull it off.
I doubt that there was a 15% shift in the margins of the race just because of that gaffe.
Without that gaffe, McCaskill probably wins by about 5 points.
