How would Canadian Provinces vote in McCain vs Obama? (user search)
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  How would Canadian Provinces vote in McCain vs Obama? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How would Canadian Provinces vote in McCain vs Obama?  (Read 3917 times)
ottermax
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,800
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.09

P P
« on: March 24, 2008, 12:11:40 AM »

Everyone would vote for Obama. Compared to America, Canada's economy is quite swell. Quebec is like Vermont politically, but is usually overshadowed by the separatism.

Newfoundland would be interesting, but I don't think they would vote for McCain although he fits the province well.

PEI would probably vote for Obama since they are so loyal to the Liberals, I guess they would be as loyal to Democrats.

The Territories would probably be overwhelmingly Obama.

Either way, the national popular vote would be something like 60-40 Obama.
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ottermax
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,800
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.09

P P
« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2008, 06:37:57 PM »

Alberta: Strong McCain (Alberta is like the Texas of Canada or even more conservative)
Saskatchewan: Lean Obama
Manitoba: Tossup/Lean McCain

How is Saskatchewan so different from Alberta and Manitoba? 

No big cities.
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ottermax
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,800
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.09

P P
« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2008, 10:15:57 PM »

Hillary/Obama:

Obama would win BC, Alberta, the Territories and Ontario.

Hillary would win the Maritimes (especially Newfounland, New Brunswick, and P.E.I.).

It would be pretty close in the Prairies, but I guess Obama would win Saskatchewan and a very close Manitoba.

Quebec is like Puerto Rico. I guess they would vote for Clinton, but... they would easily vote for Obama...

I think Obama would be more passionate about his social democratic views in Canada than in America.
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ottermax
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,800
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.09

P P
« Reply #3 on: March 28, 2008, 07:46:46 PM »

FWIW, is this site capable for making election maps for countries other than the US? If not, is there a Canadian election calculator somewhere? (I doubt there would be since they don't use the EC, but just wondering...)

Perhaps you could calculate one. It wouldn't be too difficult as long as you know how to apportion electoral votes. However it would make elections rather pointless in Canada because they would not give any vote to huge numbers of people in Ontario and Quebec, and there wouldn't be any way to win without Ontario probably.
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ottermax
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,800
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.09

P P
« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2008, 12:57:18 AM »

Canada would have to have runoff style elections. First Past the Post would disenfranchise most left-wing voters.
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