Cities vs. rest of county (user search)
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  Cities vs. rest of county (search mode)
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Author Topic: Cities vs. rest of county  (Read 26475 times)
ottermax
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,801
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.09

P P
« on: November 22, 2020, 02:30:24 PM »

For King County, again may change slightly but still good indication percentage wise.  Since numbers not final, just gave percentages.  Looks like Seattle might be in the running for most Democratic city as has beaten out San Francisco and Boston and likely New York City.  Mind you one of the more well to do, quite educated so somewhat makes sense.  Washington DC is more Democratic and Detroit probably is too (large African-American), but ranks up there.

Seattle:

Biden: 89.5%
Trump: 8%


Rest of King County

Biden: 69.1%
Trump: 27.6%

East end which was once solidly Republican is where GOP floor has fallen through.  Not surprising as large tech sector, large number of well to do college educated residents.

Biden:


Exhibit #2 for the case against a uniform R swing among urban nonwhites. (Seattle proper is 68% Non-Hispanic White, 15% Asian, and 7% Black per 2019 estimates.) That Trump number is not very indicative of a R swing among Seattle’s Asian or Black residents.

I think you need to look at the suburbs like Tukwila, Sea-Tac, Kent, Federal Way, Renton, and South Seattle precincts before making this claim. Seattle is less White than most of South King County.
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ottermax
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,801
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.09

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2020, 02:37:21 PM »


Glancing really quickly comparing the precinct maps from 2020 to 2016 in LA, it looks like the same patterns we see in many areas of the Sun Belt... higher turnout more votes for Biden, but also more votes for Trump narrowing the margins in places like Inglewood, Downey, and Compton.
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