Australia General Discussion 4.0: It ain’t easy under Albanese

[AustralianSwingVoter]

The mind boggles at how biscuit tins have become part of the "woke culture wars".

Tldr, imagine if the Royal British Legion made limited edition biscuit tins and every supermarket always stocks them for Rememberance day. But this year Sainsbury's decides to stop stocking them and doesn't really explain why.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

In Queensland politics when the tide goes out it goes a looong way out, and that looks to be true for Steven Miles. A new state poll comes to 56-44 for the LNP. On uniform swing about half of Miles’s cabinet is facing defeat, and the LNP should get ~60 seats. Miles has even acknowledged the bad polling to the press, so internals must be going the same way. All in all the swing looks to be on in Queensland.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

When is the election due there?

End of October, it’s only 6 months away now. Crisafulli also leads as Better Premier which is a fairly solid bet for change of government.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

So we have until then to enjoy those maps of all the Oz mainland coloured red

Nope, NT election is due in August and Territory Labor’s pretty thoroughly roasted over the youth crime situation. Vibe is getting very hostile apparently.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Teals are apparently looking to recruit someone in Peter Dutton's seat.

ASV, you know more about Queensland than I do, but is Dutton in any trouble if a good, community-backed independent is found to stand against him with Climate200s money behind them?

Dutton is in trouble with Labor, not a teal independent. Brisbane's geography can be deceiving, they don't have the rich suburbs stretching out like in Sydney and Melbourne. It's demographically pretty similar to Aston or Hughes, but politically with a higher floor for the Labor vote.
It's always been centred on the former Pine Rivers Shire - the innermost council that escaped merger into the City of Brisbane. Because of this it never got any tram lines or city buses, and remained undeveloped much later than suburbs south of the river. It was developed in the 60s with a much more outer suburban character and surprisingly low rates of commuters to the CBD due to the railway's alignment and lack of transport connections from Brisbane City Council.

I haven't heard anything about a Climate200s backed challenge, and honestly it'd probably help Dutton's chances for re-election from their leakage on transfers. But regardless Dutton shouldn't have a serious challenge given the current swing against state Labor.