Is California maxxed out for Democrats?

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I think statewide yes.  Further Democratic gains in the Inland Empire and the rest of the Suburbs will probably cancel out minority drift to the Republicans.

For the record, the Inland Empire votes Democratic only because of Latinos. Otherwise, it would just be another downscale white exurb.

But no, I stand by my earlier statement that Democrats can clear 70% in California. Democrats should be able to clear 65% in Orange, Sacramento, and San Diego Counties, 80% in Los Angeles County, 70% along the whole Central Coast, and start winning the East Sacramento suburbs. Plus fast growth in the Bay Area is only netting more Democratic votes.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I think statewide yes.  Further Democratic gains in the Inland Empire and the rest of the Suburbs will probably cancel out minority drift to the Republicans.

For the record, the Inland Empire votes Democratic only because of Latinos. Otherwise, it would just be another downscale white exurb.

But no, I stand by my earlier statement that Democrats can clear 70% in California. Democrats should be able to clear 65% in Orange, Sacramento, and San Diego Counties, 80% in Los Angeles County, 70% along the whole Central Coast, and start winning the East Sacramento suburbs. Plus fast growth in the Bay Area is only netting more Democratic votes.

Explain why both Santa Clara and Los Angeles counties swung 5% towards Trump then. Biden actually won a slightly lower percentage of the vote in LA County than Hillary did.

Evidently lower propensity voters turned out and preferred Trump. I'm not saying that California will swing D going forward. I'm saying that it could. I think the benchmarks I put forward are reasonable best-case scenarios for Democrats and clearing 70% statewide is a realistic possibility.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Weirdly I heard that CA 33rd which isn't even that blue only moved like half a point left. What Demographics are there that helped the GOP? Its a 70% White district that was "only" Clinton +40 in suburban Los Angeles.

First off, it isn't really suburban. Basically, it's the most "elite" part of Southern California if not the entire United States. It has Beverly Hills, Bel Air, Santa Monica, Marina Del Rey, Malibu, etc. which are basically our version of Uptown Manhattan+the Hamptons. It also has a sizable Jewish and Iranian Community (heavy overlap between the two) and iirc one of the highest Japanese populations of any district in the USA.