2020 AZ Senate Megathread: Kelly's Race to Lose

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

One thing more I would say is that Sinema's victory, in part, was due to her ability to draw from independents and more moderate Republican voters. The exit polls, I believe, indicated that she won ~10-12% of Republican voters, and got close to 60% among independents. Independents and Republican defectors were key to her victory; without them, she would have lost. By contrast, Garcia did badly with those two groups; hence, part of the reason why Ducey defeated him by 14%.

I mean, it could just be, just like in GA, D voters who use the label R in registration, considering Sinema didnt overpreform the congressional PV. Ducey was very popular, so these previous Rs turned Ds still voted for him.

Ideology had no effect.

It absolutely can. Just look at how much Harley Rouda outperformed Katie Porter, despite CA-45 being more D-friendly than CA-48. One to two percent is the difference between a win and a loss in modern Arizona.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

Gallego is going to win by like five points.

Wtf no

That won't happen. Even Sinema only won by 2. Gallego would probably lose by the same margin.

Ruben Gallego is too liberal

Democrats have to offer moderate Republicans and indepenents a palatable alternative.

Grant Woods is a good candidate.

Grant Woods was a Republican until this year. He can screw right off.

I like winning and I don't like leaving something to chance.

We need someone with the best chance of beating McSally.

I am all for running liberals in safe seats, but this isn't one of them.

Republican lite is not acceptable. Period. If woods wants to be senator let him run in the GOP primary

...so you rather have McSally?

She sure isn't a Republican-lite

Gallego....Is..Electable
Period
I'll leave it at that

Tell that to Andrew Gillum (Gwen would have won)

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I'm all for choosing electable candidates, but Woods is a bridge too far. I'm not supporting somebody who was a Republican during the rise of Trump. Stanton is a palatable enough alternative, but I could not in good conscience support Woods.

I dunno. He was never super partisan nor right wing, and if Charlie Crist can switch parties, so can he.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Seems that Stanton isnt going for it.

Shame.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

My very early Kelly vs Gallego Primary Prediction map.

Gallego definitely wins Santa Cruz by a large margin, Yuma by a larger margin, Maricopa is a tossup.