POLL: Primaries aside, who of these 3 dems has the strongest chance of flipping the PA senate seat? (user search)
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  POLL: Primaries aside, who of these 3 dems has the strongest chance of flipping the PA senate seat? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Of these 3, who is the best bet for democrats of flipping the Toomey seat?
#1
Lt. Governor John Fetterman
#2
Representative Conor Lamb
#3
State Representative Malcolm Kenyatta
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Partisan results


Author Topic: POLL: Primaries aside, who of these 3 dems has the strongest chance of flipping the PA senate seat?  (Read 453 times)
Meatball Ron
recoveringdemocrat
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,284


« on: February 26, 2021, 10:37:10 AM »

I'd probably peg as something along the lines of -

1. Dean / Houlahan (base in the Philly suburbs good for both turnout in this region and "persuasion" - mitigating any risk of a portion of this group reverting to their Republican ways)
2. Kenyatta (strongest turnout among black voters, youth, and LGBT, running up the score in Philly; should also play well enough in the suburbs)
3. Fetterman (a strong candidate overall, no doubt, but I think the opportunity to win back working class white / Obama-Trump voters is significantly over-stated (especially with a Bernie-endorsed socialist); turnout should be a little lower in Philly/suburbs, not necessarily because of jogger incident but more because he isn't based here)
4. Lamb (some of the same disadvantages of Fetterman - doesn't come from and therefore won't be juicing turnout in the largest / most lucrative area of the state - but also less exciting / inspiring overall; also likely has limited potential to make actually meaningful inroads with WWC / Obama-Trump voters)
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