Rate Adams County, Co

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Safe D, and long term the leftward trend will stall but it won't reverse.

"Working class" here is mostly a euphemism for Hispanic, where there isn't just an ag presence here but also Federal Heights and Commerce City have become Hispanic enclaves bleeding over from Denver's western and northern sides. So we aren't talking about the stereotypical Obama-Trump WWC voter - the trend here will depend on the overall trends for Hispanic voters (although CO Dems mobilized Hispanics statewide much much more effectively in 2020 than the national party did).

But Thornton, Northglenn and Westminster are whiter and have a more professional, college educated workforce that are more stereotypical of the liberal Colorado suburbs. In the absence of another realignment (or some sort of college educated flight) these towns will anchor the county and prevent it from flipping even if there is a Hispanic R surge.

The county's geography isn't well suited for expansion - much of the western portion close to the city is already developed save for some slivers on the boundary with Weld, and the eastern portions of the county closest to the other developed areas are either occupied by holdings like Rocky Mountain Arsenal and DIA or are close enough to the airport to be ill-suited for profitable development. Arapahoe actually still has room for growth because there's some area south of Aurora that's being developed like crazy right now.