That race already happened.
Back in 2012, when Brown ran against Bühler in the Sec. of State race.
She defeated him by 8 points.
Why would this change in 6 years to make it a tie ?
Brown was an unknown then, and was not nearly as far to the left as she is now. Also since it was not a Gubernatorial race it barely got covered at all(by ads or the media) so it likely had far more partisan voting than a gubernatorial race does.
Brown tracking to the left in a year with a strong national anti-R tide isn't going to cost her any meaningful number of voters.
Its a Governors race not a Senate one.
Right... they aren't independent of each other. Votes will be highly correlated -- someone who votes a certain way for Senate is likely to vote the same way for Governor. I'm not sure I understand your point.
