Kansas Megathread: Kobach and Kelly and Orman, Oh My! (user search)
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  Kansas Megathread: Kobach and Kelly and Orman, Oh My! (search mode)
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Author Topic: Kansas Megathread: Kobach and Kelly and Orman, Oh My!  (Read 81146 times)
Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,226


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

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« on: February 21, 2018, 10:40:53 PM »

it's about taking our conservative platform and making it into policy to improve the lives of all Kansans.”
[/quote]


lol, republicans already did that and they lost miserably.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,226


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

WWW
« Reply #1 on: June 04, 2018, 11:20:42 AM »

Going to do "Tmth Ratings" a few times leading up to the primary and then after on how I think the results would be if the election were today. I encourage VPH to do something similar so we can have two different perspectives! Smiley

Republican Primary:
Colyer: 42%
Kobach: 39%
Selzer: 9%
Barnett: 6%
Others: 4%

Democratic Primary:
Kelly: 41%
Svaty: 36%
Brewer: 16%
Others: 7%

General Election Ratings:
Governor/Lt. Governor: Lean Republican
Secretary of State: Likely Republican
Attorney General: Safe Republican
Treasurer: Safe Republican
Insurance Commissioner: Safe Republican
State Legislature: Safe Republican - Democrats pick up 1-5 seats, will be very difficult to predict until after primary

If democrats are even remotely competitive in the governor race, they will likely pick up more than 1-5 seats. It's not very hard to pick up more than 1-5 when they have an 85-40 deficit in the state house.

People always underestimate how many seats will flip in state legislatures... smh at everyone who thought dems would gain 5-10 in VA and they ended up gaining 15 (and losing one by a coinflip).
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