PPP CA-22 (Janz internal): Nunes (R) 50, Generic D 45

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Disappointing result for him.

Here're the facts:

The district has a CPVI of R +8.
The RealClearPolitics average for a the national congressional ballot of D +11.2.
A generic Democrat is down by 5.
The Democrat is under performing the national environment by about 8..... in an internal.

R+8 doesn't mean republicans have an 8% advantage. It's actually a far bigger advantage than it looks.

Nunes won his district by 34 points in 2016, Romney by 15, and Trump by 10%.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

The district is calculated by the CPVI as 8 points more Republican than the nation as a whole, it Nunes still has a 5 point lead in a massively democratic national environment. Why can’t atlas liberals accept their good results??? Must they obsessively focus on the Just argument that not every result is good for them? Their incessant refusal to accept basic facts is so tiresome. YOU ARE WINNING, that doesn’t mean you have to win every time. Calm down.

R+8 means the GOP gets 58% of the vote. So this poll is in line with the wave environment, given incumbency.

58% vs 42% means a 16 point advantage, something Young Conservative can't seem to wrap his head around lol.