Hillary giving up?

[Flying Dog]

This is interesting:

Hillary isn't advertising in Alaska, Missouri, Colorado, and Kansas. Obama, meanwhile, is advertising in every state except Illinois.

There are four possibilities of why this is happening:

1: Clinton is confident of wins in these states. Very unlikely, I know.

2: Clinton doesn't think she can wins these states. Also very unlikely. She has a lead in MO and can't be that far behind in CO or KS.

3: She is running out of money.

4: She wants to concentrate her $ on CA and NY/NJ.

I really have no idea.

[Flying Dog]

Yeah, she's probable ceding Kansas, Alaska and Colorado to Obama. However, I can't understand Missouri.

[Flying Dog]

I think it's a combination of 2 and 4: she knows California will be the decisive state on Super Tuesday: if she loses, it gives Obama HUGE momentum. If she wins, the pressure will start mounting on him to drop out. I think she knows she'll win NY and NJ, and is just trying to rack up delegates.

I think New Jersey could be the close one nobody was expecting to be close. I still think Hillary will win it but it might be closer than expected. Maybe 52-47?

[Flying Dog]

I predict there are about zero voters in Missouri who have the logic of "Well, I think I'll vote for Obama because he's from a big city in a state that borders me."

The era of regional politics in America is dead... except in a few cases in the South.

Obama won almost all the counties on the border with IL.