Which Party do you THINK will win the 2008 Presidential Election?

[Max]

I think Dems have the better chance, as long as they concentrate on economy, Iraq and Bush.

They'd avoid campaigning on social issues.


btw: Hallo to the forum! After reading your posts for some weeks, here's my first one.
My English is not the best, but I'm working on it! ;-)

[Max]

The only aspect of the economy they could campaign on is the debt.  The economy itself is quite good, and they would have a hard time pinging the GOP on any true negatives. 

I'm not an expert on American economy at the moment, but aren't there many jobs lost compared with the Clinton years?
That's something Dems could point out.

[Max]

Hllary Clinton - 48%
John McCain - 49%
Other - 3%

John McCain - 48%
Russ Feingold - 50%
Other 2%

Rudy Giuliani - 50%
Mark Warner - 49%
Other - 1%

I disagree with you on this ones.

I think McCain would defeat liberals like Clinton and Feingold by at least 4 to 5 points.

And I'm sure that Warner would defeat Giuliani by winning at least two Southern Bush states (Arkansas and his home state of Virginia)  while Giuliani could only weaken, but not win the Northeast.

[Max]

A lot of polls show Giuliani gaining ground and fast in traditionally democratic areas. I could almost assure you that a strong Giuliani campaign could take New Hampshire, Iowa, Minnesota, and possibly Wisconsin. Mark Warner is a decent candidate - but he lacks accomplishment where as the public have given Giuliani the title of "America's mayor". I just don't think that people could warm up to Warner fast enough for him to beat the already tremendously popular Giuliani.

Seems to me that you are better informed about Giuliani and I don't know any polls for a Giuliani vs. Warner race, but I think socially liberal Giuliani would loose more in the South - especially against moderate-to-conservative Warner - then he'dd win in the Northeast.

The white blue collar workers in the North would also vote for Warner over Giuliani, in my opinion.