KY: Switch from Mitch (user search)
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Adlai Stevenson
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« on: May 27, 2008, 11:28:08 AM »

Rasmussen is weird.  At one stage it was definitely exaggeratedly Republican - now it seems that it is favouring every Democratic challenger across America in a competetive race.  I do not believe this, though I want to.  My predictions (at this stage as meaningless as a Ramussen poll?) -

KENTUCKY PRESIDENT -
59% (R) McCain
38% (D) Obama


KENTUCKY SENATE -
54% (R) McConnell
43% (D) Lunsford


Subject to change of course. 
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #1 on: May 27, 2008, 04:26:44 PM »

McConnell up 11 points in internal polling

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) holds an 11-point lead over his Democratic opponent, businessman Bruce Lunsford, according to the McConnell campaign’s internal polling released today.

The poll shows McConnell leading Lunsford 50 to 39 percent in a head-to-head matchup, The numbers are unchanged in McConnell’s internal polling since Lunsford won the Democratic primary this month.

The poll also shows McConnell holding a strong job approval rating: 57 percent of respondents said they approved of McConnell’s job performance while 30 percent disapproved.

Fifty-five percent of voters had a favorable impression of McConnell, while 32 percent had an unfavorable impression. Lunsford had a lower net favorability rating: 34 percent held a positive impression of him, while 20 percent had an unfavorable impression.

The poll surveyed 600 likely voters between May 21-22, and was conducted by the GOP firm Voter/Consumer Research. The poll has a four percent margin of error.

It contradicts the numbers from a newly-released automated Rasmussen poll, which shows Lunsford leading McConnell, 49 to 44 percent.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/thecrypt/0508/McConnell_up_11_points_in_internal_polling.html

This gives credence to the Rasmussen poll - being only up 11% in your own internal seems surprisingly low.  I would have expected 15%-20% - perhaps McConnell really is in danger? 
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