Post Random Maps Here 3.0 (user search)
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June 07, 2024, 11:06:23 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random Maps Here 3.0 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 180311 times)
morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,028
United States


« Reply #50 on: January 20, 2021, 12:45:07 PM »



2012 in an alternate universe

Why Kentucky and west Virginia
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,028
United States


« Reply #51 on: January 20, 2021, 03:22:22 PM »

The 2020 election but every state that was decided by a margin of <10% flips:



That is...quite a map.

Conservative Minnesota confirmed
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,028
United States


« Reply #52 on: January 27, 2021, 04:43:06 PM »

2020 Election: Carolyn Benson wins biggest landslide in decades, first 50 state sweep ever; takes 70% of the popular vote; Thompson campaign devastated by Second Great Depression and accusations of pedophilia




70 percent?
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,028
United States


« Reply #53 on: February 07, 2021, 03:07:40 AM »

1912 vs. 1924: Battle of the Progressives:



Former Pres. Theodore Roosevelt/Sen. Hiram Johnson: 285 EV/46% PV
Sen. Robert La Follette/Sen. Burton K. Wheeler: 246 EV/54% PV

That pv difference is brutal
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,028
United States


« Reply #54 on: February 07, 2021, 03:12:58 AM »


Problem with this comparison is that Fighting Bob was focused on one state. One would need to add the number of votes for each candidate together state by state in a spreadsheet then put that through an apportionment calculator to get a truly fair map.

Not to start a war but in pretty sure LaFollette was trying to win a many states as possible. He thought he was going to win a many as 9 which wasn't too egregious considering how close he was to getting several
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,028
United States


« Reply #55 on: February 07, 2021, 03:29:49 PM »


Problem with this comparison is that Fighting Bob was focused on one state. One would need to add the number of votes for each candidate together state by state in a spreadsheet then put that through an apportionment calculator to get a truly fair map.

Not to start a war but in pretty sure LaFollette was trying to win a many states as possible. He thought he was going to win a many as 9 which wasn't too egregious considering how close he was to getting several


I’m not familiar with his campaign but even if he was targeting up to 9 states, that’s not enough to win the election. So if we change the scenario to him vs. one other person, then something should change, probably the EVs

He wasn't only targetting 9 states. He just thought he could win up to 9. But he wanted more obviously. He was trying to do what thurmond and Wallace did after him. Win enough states to deny a electoral majority where he knew he would win instead of Davis and Coolidge. The only difference was that thurmond and Wallace were either mostly or entirely southern campaign, where LaFollette was a national campaign directed mostly west of Michigan and north of Oklahoma
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,028
United States


« Reply #56 on: February 11, 2021, 04:29:32 AM »

Since last page talked about it a lot, I feel this map was probably the best LaFollette was going to realistically get in a great night without too dramatically changing the course of the election and therefore history

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