What is a swing state? (user search)
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  What is a swing state? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What is a swing state?
#1
Where Bush came in between 48% and 54% in 2004 (three points from NA)
 
#2
Where Bush came in between 47% and 53% in 2004 (3 points from victory)
 
#3
Where both parties may have enough votes to win
 
#4
Where both parties have at least a 10% chance of winning
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 41

Author Topic: What is a swing state?  (Read 3823 times)
MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,812


« on: December 25, 2007, 10:42:16 PM »

Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, Ohio, Virginia, West Virginia, Wisconsin are the states I think have a chance of flipping depending on the circumstances.

I would take out NJ and put in PA

If McCain's the GOP's nominee, add Oregon and Minnesota.
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MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,812


« Reply #1 on: December 25, 2007, 11:46:23 PM »

Even HILLARY beats McCain in MN by a fairly wide margin.

Really? If the Democrats nominate Al Franken...
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MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,812


« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2007, 12:36:04 AM »

Even HILLARY beats McCain in MN by a fairly wide margin.

Really? If the Democrats nominate Al Franken...

Franken polls respectably well against Coleman. If he loses, he's certainly not going to drag down the Presidential candidate.
If Coleman blows out Franken (which is possible, though not likely), the higher suburban vote could hurt the Democratic nominee. It won't matter anyway because if the Democratic nominee loses Minnesota, he'll lose the general election.
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