French presidential election, 2022

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For comparison:

2017 (light blue = François Fillon)	2022

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Most successful candidate per region

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I haven't seen here a poll for the second round yet. So, sorry if someone has already posted this.

According to French polling institute Ifop-Fiducial, Macron would win the runoff by 5%, which barely lies within the margin of error.

https://twitter.com/IfopOpinion/status/1513909653998080003

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The funniest thing about the map, however, is the fact that Louisiana forms its own constituency, as though it's still 1803. 😀 King Louis XIV would be proud.

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The funniest thing about the map, however, is the fact that Louisiana forms its own constituency, as though it's still 1803. 😀 King Louis XIV would be proud.

Somehow Nunavut got one while all of Western Canada had to share one.

When I just scaled that awesome map up to the max, I discovered that tiny Saarland is also its own constituency, whereas Rhineland-Palatinate and Hesse are merged as one. It seems like the French can't let go... 😂

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How did that happen? Vive le Nunavut libre.

That's probably because Nunavut is part of the Montreal constituency.

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He is right that people need to turn out and vote in the legislatives, though. For 20 years French people have been idiots to skip the vote that actually matters because the presidential election looks flashier. Now there's fatalism around Macron being reelected and there not being a left option on the ballot, but there WILL be a left option on the ballot in June, and if history is any guide, a lot of left-wing voters will ignore it. We have to hope that Mélenchon can convince them not to.

Les Françaises should do it like les Américains: The presidential and the congressional elections ought to held on the same day. Since runoffs are provided for either election anyway, it would be of advantage to merge both election dates.

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WINNER BY REGION

First round	Second round

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SHARE OF INVALID BALLOTS BY REGION



Maximum: 13.40% in Martinique
Minimum: 7.31 % in Hauts-de-France

The right map reveals tellingly where the French voted for Le Pen from conviction, and where the Le Pen vote was merely a protest vote.

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Map of the expat vote in the runoff is much more boring - it went 86% for Macron, on about 38% turnout. Le Pen only won in Russia (minus Yekaterinburg's 4 votes) and Almaty (Kazakhstan as a whole seems to have gone Macron by adding Nur-Sultan to Almaty), and came close in Belarus, Paraguay, Moldova and Monaco (46.2%!) and did relatively well in Thailand, Andorra and Djibouti.

Interesting fun fact about Andorra:

Did you know that the President of the French Republic is simultaneously the Co-Prince of the Principality of Andorra, along with the Bishop of the Roman Catholic Diocese of Urgell? 🇫🇷 🇦🇩
That partial personal union between France and Andorra dates back to 1607, when France's temporal head of state was still a monarch. ☝🏻🤓