Predict the Bavarian state election (October 2018) (user search)
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  Predict the Bavarian state election (October 2018) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict the Bavarian state election (October 2018)  (Read 3241 times)
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Hades
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,375
Israel


« on: August 28, 2018, 11:18:37 PM »

Is it more likely than not (despite current polling) that the SPD comes behind the Greens? I just feel like this is one of those things that people are overestimating but will revert to traditional results in end.

According to the latest poll: YES!

Here's the current poll by INSA:
CSU:36%(-11.7%)
Greens:15%(+6.4%)
AfD:14%(+14%)
SPD:13%(-7.6%)
FW:8%(-1%)
FDP:6%(+2.7%)
Left:3%(+0.9%)
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
Hades
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,375
Israel


« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2018, 11:32:26 PM »

Here's my prediction:

CSU:46.5%
AfD:15%
Greens:12%
FW:9.2%
SPD:7.5%
FDP:4.9%
Left:3.0%
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