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« on: March 15, 2024, 12:55:08 AM » |
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Seems pretty clear to me like 2020 polling is underestimating Trump with older voters and non college whites, remember how well Biden was doing with older voters and non college whites in 2020 in the polls, in the end he gained only a little bit with older voters. Conversely Trump is unlikely to go over 14% of the black vote, either in MI or in other states.
I think Trump does worse with black voters than the polls say but better with old voters and perhaps non college whites.
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