Annatar
Jr. Member
Posts: 983
|
 |
« on: May 18, 2018, 03:05:55 AM » |
|
It seems the era of the US having much higher fertility then Europe is coming to an end, the US TFR in 2017 was likely only 1.77, just 10% above the EU level of 1.6, I think it is increasingly unlikely that the US will ever reach 400 million people, it will struggle to even get to 380 million if fertility continues to drop and life expectancy stagnates which will lead to a rise in deaths as the population gets older.
With regard to politics, I think the big impact will be that adjustments between censuses will get smaller as fewer states change rapidly in population size, by the middle of the century, the US will essentially have zero population growth meaning there will be very little redrawing of districts decade by decade.
|
