September 2021; who wins in 2024? (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  September 2021; who wins in 2024? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: .
#1
Joe Biden
 
#2
Kamala Harris
 
#3
Donald Trump
 
#4
Ron Desantis
 
#5
Pete Buttigieg
 
#6
Nikki Haley
 
#7
Mike Pence
 
#8
Kristi Noem
 
#9
Mike Pompeo
 
#10
Michelle Obama
 
#11
AOC
 
#12
Donald Trump Jr.
 
#13
Ted Cruz
 
#14
Marco Rubio
 
#15
MTG
 
#16
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 99

Author Topic: September 2021; who wins in 2024?  (Read 2548 times)
Burke Bro
omelott
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,112
Israel



« on: September 06, 2021, 11:14:40 PM »

Trump, probably.

Republicans have an entrenched advantage in the electoral college which is only going to grow as Republicans become more dependent on rural voters and voter suppression. Biden only won by less than 45,000 votes in certain swing states, despite winning the popular vote by more than 7 million in 2020 (~4.5% margin of victory). In order for Democrats to win in 2024, they need to re-nominate Biden, without whom they lack the incumbency advantage, and the economy must be going strong (which isn't a certainty because of COVID and the lasting effects of stimulus).
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