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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 2.0.  (Read 211596 times)
America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #75 on: January 31, 2018, 01:12:17 PM »

Hillary Clinton VS Chris Christie without his scandals.



Governor Christopher Christie (R-NJ)/Governor Susana Martinaz(R-NM) (321EV) ✓

Former Secretary Of state Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Timothy Kaine(D-VA) (210EV)

Switch New Jersey and Alaska.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #76 on: January 31, 2018, 04:58:06 PM »

2020 Presidential Election

Marco Rubio (R-FL)/Nikki Haley (R-SC) 362 EVs
Hillary Clinton (i) (D-AR)/Tim Kaine (i) (D-VA) 176 EVs
From an alternate TL where Clinton pursues a political career from Arkansas?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #77 on: February 06, 2018, 05:38:16 PM »

Midterms 2018 - Republican Landslide
Democratic momentum is crushed, as the party leadership keeps shooting itself in the foot as November approaches. The polls have turned sour in many states, as the hope of winning Texas is gone, and Democrats just want to minimize losses. Trump's approval is a whopping (for him) 51% heading into election day.

Republican: 59 (+8)
Democratic: 41 (-8)
US House
Republican: 250 (+9)
Democratic: 185 (-9)
With the Democratic wave nonexistent and the Democrats suffering more losses across the country. Tom Perez, Pelosi and Schumer find themselves under risk of losing their leadership positions.

Republicans hold their position, perhaps expanding their gubernatorial and state legislative control into taking more trifectas and taking a supermajority of state legislatures (one short of a supermajority IRL iirc).
The nightmare scenario.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #78 on: February 10, 2018, 01:51:49 PM »

1996: ‘64 all over again:



President Al Gore/Vice President Lee Hamilton: 495 Electoral Votes, 57.8%
Fmr. WH Comms. Dir. Pat Buchanan/Rep. Bob Dornan: 43 Electoral Votes, 41.2%

In September 1994, President Clinton was shot while visiting a diner and campaigning for Democratic candidates in Boulder, Colorado. The shooter was identified as a radical former Ross Perot/Pat Buchanan supporter who had communist tendencies, John Lee Jefferson, who was executed four months later. This incident put the country in a state of disarray. President Gore was sworn in, and decided to select Representative Lee Hamilton as Vice President, and he was confirmed by the Senate. The ticket stressed the progress Bill Clinton had made in office, while focusing on what President Gore was going to do in office. The main candidates for the Republicans decided to skip this election, causing Republican Pat Buchanan to narrowly win the nomination. President Gore easily crushes the Buchanan/Dornan ticket come November.
I wonder how 2000 turns out in this timeline...
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #79 on: February 10, 2018, 01:57:08 PM »

1996: ‘64 all over again:



President Al Gore/Vice President Lee Hamilton: 495 Electoral Votes, 57.8%
Fmr. WH Comms. Dir. Pat Buchanan/Rep. Bob Dornan: 43 Electoral Votes, 41.2%

In September 1994, President Clinton was shot while visiting a diner and campaigning for Democratic candidates in Boulder, Colorado. The shooter was identified as a radical former Ross Perot/Pat Buchanan supporter who had communist tendencies, John Lee Jefferson, who was executed four months later. This incident put the country in a state of disarray. President Gore was sworn in, and decided to select Representative Lee Hamilton as Vice President, and he was confirmed by the Senate. The ticket stressed the progress Bill Clinton had made in office, while focusing on what President Gore was going to do in office. The main candidates for the Republicans decided to skip this election, causing Republican Pat Buchanan to narrowly win the nomination. President Gore easily crushes the Buchanan/Dornan ticket come November.
I wonder how 2000 turns out in this timeline...
1994 midterms are another question mark.
I have to assume the '94 midterms would be much more favorable for Democrats than they were IOTL.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #80 on: February 10, 2018, 04:01:26 PM »

John Bel Edwards/the ghost of William Jennings Bryan versus any generic GOP ticket.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #81 on: February 10, 2018, 04:50:06 PM »

Is Ben Nelson somewhere on the Democratic ticket? that would explain Nebraska and Kansas and the other states could simply be explained by it being a massive D landslide.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #82 on: February 10, 2018, 04:55:40 PM »

Is Ben Nelson somewhere on the Democratic ticket? that would explain Nebraska and Kansas and the other states could simply be explained by it being a massive D landslide.

yes.
Ben Nelson/Kathleen Sebelius vs. Ted Cruz?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #83 on: February 10, 2018, 04:56:39 PM »

Is Ben Nelson somewhere on the Democratic ticket? that would explain Nebraska and Kansas and the other states could simply be explained by it being a massive D landslide.

yes.
Ben Nelson/Kathleen Sebelius vs. Ted Cruz?

yes.
Seriously? that's literally the exact match-up?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #84 on: February 13, 2018, 09:26:21 PM »

Maybe not very unpopular, but the Midwest is the most elastic region of the country and Democrats have a high floor in states like GA and FL, so a possible backlash/underperformance would be more concentrated in states like OH, IA, PA, etc. Most of it is just because the Democrats overperformed so much in 2018.

2020:



Elizabeth Warren/Kamala Harris - 335 EV, 52.4%
Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 203 EV, 45.7%
Georgia voting to the left of North Carolina seems a bit odd.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #85 on: February 14, 2018, 06:48:20 PM »



The result of a future realignment. Democrats are technocratic proponents of a mixed economy system, but reject socialism or redistribution. Republicans resemble paeloconservatives. Signs of the old order exist: Democrats are statistically likely to be a few shades darker than Republicans, DC is still safe D and the upper southern states are still more Republican.

Cities that were once strongly R, now strongly D: St. Georges UT, Yuma-Bullhead City-Flagstaff AZ, Carson City, Pueblo and Colorado Springs CO, Ft. Meyers FL. Boise isn't ultra safe D but does swing that way.

Cities that were once strongly D, now strongly R: Seattle WA and all suburbs and neighbors thereof, Portland-Astoria OR, anywhere in Alaska that was ever D, Great Lakes metros that were trending R as early as the 2010s. Hamilton County OH now regularly votes left of Cuyahoga. The Twin Cities metro in MN is reasonably competitive.  Madison WI isn't exactly conservative, but it's a city that's seen better days.
What about NOVA?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #86 on: February 14, 2018, 08:31:15 PM »



The result of a future realignment. Democrats are technocratic proponents of a mixed economy system, but reject socialism or redistribution. Republicans resemble paeloconservatives. Signs of the old order exist: Democrats are statistically likely to be a few shades darker than Republicans, DC is still safe D and the upper southern states are still more Republican.

Cities that were once strongly R, now strongly D: St. Georges UT, Yuma-Bullhead City-Flagstaff AZ, Carson City, Pueblo and Colorado Springs CO, Ft. Meyers FL. Boise isn't ultra safe D but does swing that way.

Cities that were once strongly D, now strongly R: Seattle WA and all suburbs and neighbors thereof, Portland-Astoria OR, anywhere in Alaska that was ever D, Great Lakes metros that were trending R as early as the 2010s. Hamilton County OH now regularly votes left of Cuyahoga. The Twin Cities metro in MN is reasonably competitive.  Madison WI isn't exactly conservative, but it's a city that's seen better days.
What about NOVA?

Around what year do you think this takes place?
I would say at least 100 years in the future.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #87 on: February 17, 2018, 04:12:41 PM »

Can you give us a hint as to what this is?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #88 on: February 17, 2018, 05:34:30 PM »



1936 if Huey Long had run as a third party. He carries the Deep South and causes Roosevelt to narrowly lose Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Kansas, but otherwise only slightly dampens FDR's still massive landslide.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #89 on: February 18, 2018, 07:37:38 PM »



307-224 GOP

1912 election. Moderately progressive Republican incumbent defeats a Democratic candidate always flip flopping between prairie populism and business. The Democrat was rumored to be a secret member of the Mormon church, considered a cult by the GOP campaign.
Virginia should be (Atlas) red here. it was definitely a part of the Solid South around this time period even if the margins were a bit smaller than in the deepest parts of Dixie.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #90 on: February 18, 2018, 10:51:22 PM »

2020 General Election



Donald Trump/Mike Pence: 273
Joe Biden/Kamala Harris: 265
If Biden is winning Iowa, he's probably also winning at least one of Ohio, Arizona, Florida, Pennselvanyia, or North Carolina and thus the election.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #91 on: February 19, 2018, 11:36:04 AM »


Jimmy Carter/Walter Mondale - 315 EVs
Bob Dole/Ronald Reagan


Why would Bob Dole be a worse candidate than Reagan? (I assume this is 1980).
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #92 on: February 19, 2018, 11:36:42 AM »

Heitkamp/Manchin vs. Generic R.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #93 on: February 22, 2018, 03:12:13 PM »



Will update FDR and Hoovers popular / electoral later
What is this, a 5% swing to Hoover?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #94 on: February 24, 2018, 12:24:16 PM »

2006 Election: A Challenger Rises

Gov. Mary Challenger (D-MO)/Sen. Henry Cortes (D-CA) - 358 EVs - 53.45%

Pres. Willy Fitzgerald (R-CO)/Vice Pres. Calinda Mayer (R-GA) - 180 EVs - 45.43%

Mary's Day 2010

Pres. Mary Challenger (D-MO)/Vice Pres. Henry Cortes (D-CA) - 354 EVs - 52.54%

Sen. Mary Joyce (R-ID)/Sen. Joshua Kilmer (R-NJ) - 184 EVs - 47.09%

2014: President Challenger is Shaken

Pres. Mary Challenger(D-MO)/Vice Pres. Henry Cortes (D-CA) - 303 EVs -
 49.76%

Gov. Michael Hoff (R-TN)/Gov. George Garland (R-ME) - 235 EVs - 46.87%

2018: The Disgraced, the Tarnished, and the Fascist

Ret. Gen. Derrick DeMontis (R-PA)/Sen. Victor Deere (R-KY) - 284 EVs - 43.76%

Vice Pres. Henry Cortes (D-CA)/Fmr. Amb. Valina Chau (D-NJ) - 218 EVs -
46.35%

Ret. Lt. Com. Mike Douglas (N-OR)/Mr. Dylan Perrie (N-NC) - 36 EVs - 7.65%

N = Nativist, Populist, and Fascist Coalition Party (NPFC)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Mary Challenger's average first term popularity (2007 to 2011) = 57%

Mary Challenger's average second term popularity (2011 to 2015) = 54%

Mary Challenger's average third term popularity (2015 to 2019) = 45%
Who is this Mary Challenger?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #95 on: February 27, 2018, 11:24:15 AM »

Electoral College Same-Sex Marraige Referendum



2/3 of electors required
Yes - 359
No - 179
I would think North Carolina would be green here.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #96 on: March 02, 2018, 04:06:18 PM »

Context?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #97 on: March 03, 2018, 06:05:29 PM »

What if my two favorite US politicians of all time ran against each other?

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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #98 on: March 03, 2018, 08:40:55 PM »

What if my two favorite US politicians of all time ran against each other?



?
The Democrat should be obvious since he's >60% in Nebraska. The Republican is from New York.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #99 on: March 03, 2018, 10:05:32 PM »

What if my two favorite US politicians of all time ran against each other?



?
The Democrat should be obvious since he's >60% in Nebraska. The Republican is from New York.
WJB and TR?
Bingo.
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