With only a handful of polls outstanding (plus the advance polls), things have barely shifted at all. Easy win for Brian Jean. The NDP candidate underperformed by a decent amount though - I had been expecting the NDP to get at least 25% but right now they're not even at 17%.
Probably a combination of two things:
1) Concentration of the swing to the NDP from the UCP in the urban metro seats. When election comes this probably means a easy seat majority with comparatively large vote majorities, but now it means far more limited vote gains in the outlying and extraction areas.
2) Jean running as a open opponent of Kenney so the Conservative's angry with the current direction of the UCP saw no problem with continuing to park their vote with the party.