Oryxslayer
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Posts: 11,067
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« on: February 26, 2020, 09:52:48 AM » |
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Obviously Sanders is too low, but everyone saying "LoL trash" should consider the state for a moment.
- MO is part of the "greater Appalachian V," so defined by people as beginning in Western PA, bottoming out in northern Alabama, and then turning west ending in Oklahoma and Missouri. For simplicity's sake, this culturally is Appalachia+Ozarks. So far, polling has shown that the Dixiecrats common across the region are going for Bloomberg.
- The true democratic base of the state is in the cities at oppositie ends of the state. Biden still remains the candidate for the AA community, which dominates both cities. Their blue suburbs meanwhile are divided between the three other candidates around Sanders who are appealing to their education.
- Last time Sanders nearly tied Clinton via margins in the rurals. I hope the three past contests have shown that this part of Sanders coalition has moved to other tickets.
- This essentially leaves Sanders with the Columbian college town and the working class suburbs to the South of St. Louis. Now, he's probably going to be second in the other candidates regions, raising his threshold from what we see here, but it's not hard to believe that Missouri won't be the hottest state for Sanders.
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