Prediction: MS Gov. Primary Tues. (user search)
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  Prediction: MS Gov. Primary Tues. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Prediction: MS Gov. Primary Tues.  (Read 6472 times)
Oryxslayer
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« on: August 06, 2019, 07:05:07 PM »

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/06/us/elections/results-mississippi-primary-election.html
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2019, 08:04:22 PM »

The Desoto and Hinds numbers arn't that good for Reeves, but admittedly the hinds ones are a bit early...
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2 on: August 26, 2019, 01:34:39 PM »

Alright, the runoff is Tuesday? Any last second surprises anybody wants to predict?

I think its fair that if Reeves comes anywhere close to losing everyone has a plate of crow.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #3 on: August 27, 2019, 04:16:55 PM »

With only a few more hours to go, who do you think the GOP would prefer? The more notable Reeves who can juice turnout among the McDaniel/Evangelical wing in this turnout driven state, or Waller who can deny Hood access to certain voters?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #4 on: August 27, 2019, 07:01:08 PM »

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/27/us/elections/results-mississippi-governor-primary-runoff-election.html

We are live!
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #5 on: August 27, 2019, 07:40:27 PM »

Here's DDHQ's if you are Paywalled, unlike me. Both sites only really have results from Warren.

https://decisiondeskhq.com/reeves-vs-waller-in-the-mississippi-gop-gubernatorial-runoff-election/
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #6 on: August 27, 2019, 09:03:57 PM »

NYT called for Reeves.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #7 on: August 29, 2019, 01:31:06 PM »

Waller did win all the "educated" county in the State, it's just that they don't have that many votes.

The MS Gulf Coast is relatively educated and it delivered

I thought the Gulf Coast would be educated too, but it really isn't, at least according to the Census

Top counties with Bachelor Degree or higher

Madison 46.5
Oktibbeha 42.6
Lafayette 41.9
Lamar 35.9
Rankin 29.2
Hinds 28.6
Forrest 26.7

The GC ranged from 20.7 to 22.2

Why did Reeves do so well on the Coast?  Was he in tight with the Casinos?
 


Retirees and the AA pockets depress the gulf coast counties a significant amount.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #8 on: September 03, 2019, 10:44:44 PM »

Big? When JBE won, he got endorsements from the  other republicans in the primary. As close as you can get to that.

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