How safe is Pete Sessions in 2018? (user search)
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  How safe is Pete Sessions in 2018? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Republican representing TX-32
#1
Lock-solid reelection
 
#2
Could lose, but it would take a near-miracle
 
#3
Losing is a real possiblity, but it will depend on quality of Dem campaign
 
#4
Sessions is favored for reelection, but it'll be close
 
#5
Pure tossup
 
#6
Sessions is an underdog
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 86

Author Topic: How safe is Pete Sessions in 2018?  (Read 3346 times)
Oryxslayer
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Posts: 11,011


« on: July 29, 2018, 11:09:26 PM »

TX-32 by education/race:

College White: 30.95%

Non-College White: 24.61%

College Non-White: 12.44%

Non-College Non-White:  32.00%

For a comparison here's VA-10's numbers with a much more vulnerable incumbent that Cook has rated as lean D:

College White: 36.60%

Non-College White: 27.99%

College Non-White: 17.73%

Non-College Non-White:  17.68%

TX-32 is less educated than VA-10, but also much more diverse.    It's still more educated than the nation as a whole.  Comstock can't survive simply because there's too many educated people in her district, while Sessions might be able to as long as the diversity of his district "in combination with the trend of educated whites away from the Republican Party" doesn't overwhelm him.

Its more a factor of the fact Minorities turn out less - particularly Hispanics. So while on paper Comstock's demographics are better, TX-32 has more GOP friendly electorate.
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