PA - ABC/WaPo: Biden+9 (user search)
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  PA - ABC/WaPo: Biden+9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA - ABC/WaPo: Biden+9  (Read 4316 times)
ExSky
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Posts: 543


« on: September 29, 2020, 10:55:13 AM »

"Regionally, Biden’s ahead by 69-31 percent in the Philadelphia suburbs, compared with
Clinton’s 55-42 percent there four years ago. Biden’s also improved on Clinton’s result in
western Pennsylvania, while the race in the state’s other regions are more similar to what it was
four years ago. "

Trumps getting a romping in the philly burbs

How are those Philly suburban numbers possible?

Is there something big going on in Bucks County?



Yeah, 69-31 seems a little far fetched to me. 60-40 would be a bit more realistic.



Why isn't this hard to believe? if Biden is actually leading by nine, it makes sense he is putting up Wolf margins in some areas, falling a bit behind Wolf in others, and then failing to match him and just keeping level with Clinton in the reddest regions. That's what the crosstabs suggest.

The denial is just simply coping.
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